Mid-American Conference

Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-11-10

Mid-American ConferenceConference Standings

T1Miami OHM-OH4-15-459.9%
T1OhioOHIO4-16-345.1%
T1Bowling GreenBGSU4-15-442.7%
T1W MichiganWMU4-15-410.5%
T5ToledoTOL3-26-334.5%
T5BuffaloBUF3-25-47.2%
T7N IllinoisNIU2-35-4<0.1%
T7Ball StBALL2-33-6-
T7E MichiganEMU2-35-4-
T10AkronAKR1-42-7-
T10C MichiganCMU1-43-6-
12KentKENT0-50-9-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Mid-American Conference CCG Matchups

125.2%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
OHIOOhio
218.6%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
TOLToledo
314.9%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
OHIOOhio
412.4%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
TOLToledo
511.4%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
M-OHMiami OH
63.3%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
WMUW Michigan
72.7%
OhioOHIO
vs
WMUW Michigan
82.5%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
WMUW Michigan
92.3%
BuffaloBUF
vs
OHIOOhio
101.8%
BuffaloBUF
vs
TOLToledo
111.7%
ToledoTOL
vs
WMUW Michigan
121.4%
BuffaloBUF
vs
M-OHMiami OH
131.4%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
BUFBuffalo
140.3%
BuffaloBUF
vs
WMUW Michigan
15<0.1%
OhioOHIO
vs
TOLToledo

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Mid-American Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 59.9%
Game
Miami OHCCG OddsAway
Miami OHCCG OddsHome
E MichiganEMU@OhioOHIO
66.8%
(+6.9%)		58.7%
(-1.2%)
W MichiganWMU@Bowling GreenBGSU
63.0%
(+3.1%)		59.1%
(-0.8%)
AkronAKR@N IllinoisNIU
59.9%
(-0.1%)		59.9%
(+0.0%)
KentKENT@Miami OHM-OH
28.3%
(-31.6%)		60.3%
(+0.4%)
C MichiganCMU@ToledoTOL
68.6%
(+8.7%)		59.1%
(-0.9%)
Ball StBALL@BuffaloBUF
63.9%
(+4.0%)		58.3%
(-1.6%)

Best Winner Combination for Miami OH

E MichiganEastern MichiganBowling GreenBowling GreenAkronAkronKentKent StateBall StBall State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Miami OH

Miami OHMiami (OH)Ball StBall State

CCG: 64.3% • Scenario: 28.4%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team7-16-25-3Overall
Miami OHM-OH100%46.2%0.2%59.9%
OhioOHIO100%12.6%0.2%45.1%
Bowling GreenBGSU100%27.3%<0.1%42.7%
ToledoTOL-83.2%0.4%34.5%
W MichiganWMU85.6%9.4%<0.1%10.5%
BuffaloBUF-30.0%<0.1%7.2%
N IllinoisNIU--0.1%<0.1%
AkronAKR----
Ball StBALL--0.6%-
C MichiganCMU----
E MichiganEMU----
KentKENT----

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team7-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
OhioOHIO(4-1)38.8%50.1%10.6%0.5%----6.3
Miami OHM-OH(4-1)37.9%47.6%14.3%0.1%----6.2
Bowling GreenBGSU(4-1)28.9%50.4%18.7%2.0%----6.1
W MichiganWMU(4-1)7.8%39.7%40.6%11.8%----5.4
ToledoTOL(3-2)-41.3%48.7%9.5%0.5%---5.3
BuffaloBUF(3-2)-24.0%53.7%21.0%1.4%---5.0
N IllinoisNIU(2-3)--27.5%62.6%9.5%0.4%--4.2
E MichiganEMU(2-3)--3.9%29.9%47.9%18.4%--3.2
Ball StBALL(2-3)--0.4%7.0%37.3%55.3%--2.5
AkronAKR(1-4)---0.4%11.5%64.4%23.7%-1.9
C MichiganCMU(1-4)---0.3%6.5%40.6%52.6%-1.5
KentKENT(0-5)----<0.1%2.4%31.9%65.7%0.4

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com