Sun Belt Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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50 of 170 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
9-0 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO James MadisonJMU	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMULouisianaUL 64.5% Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 35.5%	4.7%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 James MadisonJMU South AlabamaUSA	James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA	3.6%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 James MadisonJMU Texas StateTXST	James MadisonJMULouisianaUL	3.4%
9-0 LouisianaUL 7-2 James MadisonJMU Texas StateTXST	James MadisonJMULouisianaUL	3.0%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO James MadisonJMU Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMULouisianaUL 64.8% Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 35.2%	3.0%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO James MadisonJMU South AlabamaUSA	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA 65.5% Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA 34.5%	3.0%
9-0 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO James MadisonJMU Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMULouisianaUL 64.7% Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 35.3%	2.6%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO James MadisonJMU	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMULouisianaUL 66.5% Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 33.5%	2.4%
9-0 LouisianaUL 7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH	James MadisonJMULouisianaUL	2.2%
9-0 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMULouisianaUL 64.7% Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 35.3%	1.9%
7-2 James MadisonJMU LouisianaUL South AlabamaUSA	James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA	1.4%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH South AlabamaUSA	James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA	1.4%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH Texas StateTXST	James MadisonJMULouisianaUL	1.4%
7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO James MadisonJMU LouisianaUL South AlabamaUSA	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA 66.0% Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA 34.0%	1.3%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH South AlabamaUSA	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA 64.1% Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA 35.9%	1.2%
9-0 LouisianaUL 7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH Texas StateTXST	James MadisonJMULouisianaUL	1.2%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMULouisianaUL 64.0% Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 36.0%	1.1%
9-0 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO MarshallMRSH	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 87.6% Coastal CarolinaCCULouisianaUL 8.3% App StateAPPLouisianaUL 3.6%	1.1%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH	James MadisonJMULouisianaUL	1.1%
7-2 James MadisonJMU LouisianaUL Texas StateTXST	James MadisonJMUTexas StateTXST	1.0%
9-0 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMULouisianaUL 65.1% Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 34.8%	1.0%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMULouisianaUL 64.6% Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 35.4%	0.9%
7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO James MadisonJMU LouisianaUL Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTexas StateTXST 63.7% Georgia SouthernGASOTexas StateTXST 36.3%	0.8%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 MarshallMRSH South AlabamaUSA	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA 49.2% James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA 20.3% MarshallMRSHSouth AlabamaUSA 12.9%	0.8%
9-0 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO Old DominionODU	CCG participants not 100% certain Coastal CarolinaCCULouisianaUL 35.9% Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 35.0% LouisianaULOld DominionODU 28.0%	0.8%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 MarshallMRSH Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 45.8% James MadisonJMULouisianaUL 20.7% LouisianaULMarshallMRSH 13.9%	0.7%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO MarshallMRSH South AlabamaUSA	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA 86.4% Coastal CarolinaCCUSouth AlabamaUSA 8.8% App StateAPPSouth AlabamaUSA 4.3%	0.7%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO MarshallMRSH Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 87.2% Coastal CarolinaCCULouisianaUL 8.6% App StateAPPLouisianaUL 3.8%	0.7%
9-0 LouisianaUL 7-2 MarshallMRSH Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 51.3% James MadisonJMULouisianaUL 18.4% LouisianaULMarshallMRSH 12.3%	0.7%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO South AlabamaUSA	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA 45.3% Coastal CarolinaCCUSouth AlabamaUSA 40.5% App StateAPPSouth AlabamaUSA 8.9%	0.7%
9-0 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO MarshallMRSH Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 87.7% Coastal CarolinaCCULouisianaUL 7.8% App StateAPPLouisianaUL 3.7%	0.6%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 44.2% Coastal CarolinaCCULouisianaUL 41.5% App StateAPPLouisianaUL 9.2%	0.6%
7-2 James MadisonJMU LouisianaUL MarshallMRSH South AlabamaUSA	James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA	0.6%
9-0 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 46.8% Coastal CarolinaCCULouisianaUL 41.7% App StateAPPLouisianaUL 8.1%	0.6%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Old DominionODU South AlabamaUSA	CCG participants not 100% certain Coastal CarolinaCCUSouth AlabamaUSA 65.2% Old DominionODUSouth AlabamaUSA 33.4% App StateAPPSouth AlabamaUSA 1.4%	0.6%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO MarshallMRSH	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 88.5% Coastal CarolinaCCULouisianaUL 7.2% App StateAPPLouisianaUL 3.8%	0.5%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Old DominionODU Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain Coastal CarolinaCCULouisianaUL 62.5% LouisianaULOld DominionODU 36.4% App StateAPPLouisianaUL 1.1%	0.5%
7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO James MadisonJMU LouisianaUL MarshallMRSH South AlabamaUSA	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA 63.6% Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA 36.4%	0.5%
9-0 LouisianaUL 7-2 Old DominionODU Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain Coastal CarolinaCCULouisianaUL 67.8% LouisianaULOld DominionODU 30.1% App StateAPPLouisianaUL 2.1%	0.5%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO Old DominionODU Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain Coastal CarolinaCCULouisianaUL 36.7% Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 35.6% LouisianaULOld DominionODU 27.1%	0.5%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO Old DominionODU South AlabamaUSA	CCG participants not 100% certain Coastal CarolinaCCUSouth AlabamaUSA 35.8% Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA 35.4% Old DominionODUSouth AlabamaUSA 28.1%	0.4%
9-0 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO Old DominionODU Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain Coastal CarolinaCCULouisianaUL 36.8% Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 35.6% LouisianaULOld DominionODU 26.9%	0.4%
8-1 Georgia SouthernGASO 7-2 James MadisonJMU LouisianaUL South AlabamaUSA	Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA	0.4%
7-2 James MadisonJMU LouisianaUL MarshallMRSH Texas StateTXST	James MadisonJMUTexas StateTXST	0.4%
7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO James MadisonJMU LouisianaUL	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMULouisianaUL 40.3% James MadisonJMUTexas StateTXST 17.9% Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 16.7%	0.3%
8-1 LouisianaUL 7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO Old DominionODU	CCG participants not 100% certain Coastal CarolinaCCULouisianaUL 41.3% Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL 32.0% LouisianaULOld DominionODU 25.9%	0.3%
7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO James MadisonJMU LouisianaUL MarshallMRSH Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTexas StateTXST 72.4% Georgia SouthernGASOTexas StateTXST 27.6%	0.3%
7-2 LouisianaUL MarshallMRSH South AlabamaUSA	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA 49.8% James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA 19.3% Coastal CarolinaCCUSouth AlabamaUSA 13.1%	0.3%
9-0 LouisianaUL 7-2 Arkansas StateARST James MadisonJMU	James MadisonJMULouisianaUL	0.3%
7-2 Georgia SouthernGASO LouisianaUL South AlabamaUSA	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA 48.6% Coastal CarolinaCCUSouth AlabamaUSA 37.4% App StateAPPSouth AlabamaUSA 7.8%	0.3%

How Tiebreakers Work

Divisional (East vs. West): each division champion is decided by head-to-head → next-highest team → non-divisional common opponents → strength of schedule, then the two champions meet in the CCG

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.