Marshall

MarshallThundering Herd

6-3 T2nd (4-1) in SBC

Data from 2024-11-10 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

MarshallSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsStony BrookSTBK
W45-3
29/07
@Virginia TechVT
L14-31
49/21
@Ohio StOSU
L14-49
59/28
vsW MichiganWMU
W27-20
610/05
vsAppalachian StAPP
W52-37
710/12
@Ga SouthernGASO
L23-24
810/17
vsGeorgia StGAST
W35-20
1011/02
vsULMULM
W28-23
1111/09
@Southern MissUSM
W37-3
1211/16
vsCoastal CarCCU
Win prob:67%
1311/23
@Old DominionODU
Win prob:42%
1411/30
@James MadisonJMU
Win prob:10%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-1
2.9%
71.4%
6-2
30.7%
2.2%
5-3
49.4%
0%
4-4
17.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Marshall CCG Opponents

if Marshall makes the CCG

LouisianaLouisiana
71.0%
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
23.2%
Texas StateTexas St
5.9%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallThis Week's Impact

Game
MarshallCCG OddsAway
MarshallCCG OddsHome
Coastal CarCCU@MarshallMRSH
0.0%
(-2.7%)		4.0%
(+1.3%)
South AlabamaUSA@LouisianaUL
2.7%
(-0.1%)		2.8%
(+0.0%)
James MadisonJMU@Old DominionODU
2.7%
(+0.0%)		2.6%
(-0.1%)
Arkansas StARST@Georgia StGAST
2.7%
(+0.0%)		2.7%
(+0.0%)
TroyTROY@Ga SouthernGASO
2.7%
(+0.0%)		2.7%
(-0.0%)
Southern MissUSM@Texas StTXST
2.7%
(+0.0%)		2.7%
(+0.0%)
ULMULM@AuburnAUB
2.9%
(+0.2%)		2.7%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Marshall

MarshallMarshallSouth AlabamaSouth AlabamaOld DominionOld DominionGeorgia StGeorgia StateTroyTroySouthern MissSouthern MissULMUL Monroe

CCG: 33.3% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Marshall

MarshallMarshall

CCG: 4.0% • Scenario: 67.2%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Marshall CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
71.4%
2.9%
Old Dominion
15.7%
3.9%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com