Big XII Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

10 of 10 scenarios

ScenarioCCG MatchupProbability

CCG participants not 100% certain

BYUBYUColoradoCOLO
52.3%
BYUBYUIowa StISU
47.7%
9.9%
Arizona StASUBYUBYU
8.2%
Arizona StASUColoradoCOLO
7.7%

CCG participants not 100% certain

Arizona StASUIowa StISU
99.9%
6.4%
Arizona StASUColoradoCOLO
5.9%
BYUBYUIowa StISU
4.2%
ColoradoCOLOIowa StISU
4.1%

CCG participants not 100% certain

Arizona StASUIowa StISU
98.3%
Arizona StASUBYUBYU
1.7%
0.7%

CCG participants not 100% certain

Arizona StASUIowa StISU
45.8%
Arizona StASUColoradoCOLO
29.0%
ColoradoCOLOIowa StISU
25.2%
0.6%

CCG participants not 100% certain

ColoradoCOLOIowa StISU
78.4%
Arizona StASUColoradoCOLO
21.6%
0.5%

How Big XII Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head record → Record against the highest-placed common opponent → Next-highest, etc. → Strength of schedule → Total wins

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.