Big XII

Big XII Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-11-17

Big XIIConference Standings

T1BYUBYU6-19-171.3%
T1ColoradoCOLO6-18-271.3%
T3Arizona StASU5-28-232.2%
T3Iowa StISU5-28-223.1%
T5Kansas StKSU4-37-31.1%
T5BaylorBAY4-36-40.7%
T5Texas TechTTU4-36-40.1%
T5West VirginiaWVU4-35-5<0.1%
T5TCUTCU4-36-4<0.1%
T10CincinnatiCIN3-45-5-
T10HoustonHOU3-44-6-
T10KansasKU3-44-6-
T13ArizonaARIZ2-54-6-
T13UCFUCF2-54-6-
15UtahUTAH1-64-6-
16Oklahoma StOKST0-73-7-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Big XII CCG Matchups

150.1%
BYUBYU
vs
COLOColorado
215.5%
Arizona StASU
vs
COLOColorado
310.5%
BYUBYU
vs
ISUIowa St
49.2%
Arizona StASU
vs
BYUBYU
57.4%
Arizona StASU
vs
ISUIowa St
65.2%
ColoradoCOLO
vs
ISUIowa St
70.8%
BYUBYU
vs
KSUKansas St
80.5%
BYUBYU
vs
BAYBaylor
90.2%
ColoradoCOLO
vs
KSUKansas St
100.2%
BaylorBAY
vs
COLOColorado
11<0.1%
ColoradoCOLO
vs
TTUTexas Tech
12<0.1%
BYUBYU
vs
WVUWest Virginia
13<0.1%
Arizona StASU
vs
KSUKansas St
14<0.1%
Arizona StASU
vs
BAYBaylor
15<0.1%
BYUBYU
vs
TCUTCU

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Big XIICCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Big XII CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 71.3%
Game
ColoradoCCG OddsAway
ColoradoCCG OddsHome
Texas TechTTU@Oklahoma StOKST
73.0%
(+1.7%)		68.2%
(-3.1%)
BYUBYU@Arizona StASU
84.1%
(+12.8%)		58.2%
(-13.1%)
ArizonaARIZ@TCUTCU
71.5%
(+0.1%)		71.3%
(-0.1%)
UCFUCF@West VirginiaWVU
71.5%
(+0.2%)		71.1%
(-0.2%)
BaylorBAY@HoustonHOU
71.4%
(+0.1%)		70.9%
(-0.4%)
CincinnatiCIN@Kansas StKSU
75.0%
(+3.7%)		70.6%
(-0.8%)
ColoradoCOLO@KansasKU
95.8%
(+24.5%)		44.9%
(-26.5%)
Iowa StISU@UtahUTAH
67.7%
(-3.6%)		81.2%
(+9.9%)

Best Winner Combination for Colorado

BYUBYUColoradoColoradoUtahUtah

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 7.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Colorado

ColoradoColorado

CCG: 95.8% • Scenario: 51.9%

Ways for Colorado to Clinch Big XII CCG Spot This Week

BYUBYUColoradoColoradoUtahUtah
7.0%
Oklahoma StOklahoma StateBYUBYUArizonaArizonaWest VirginiaWest VirginiaBaylorBaylorColoradoColorado
0.8%
Oklahoma StOklahoma StateBYUBYUTCUTCUWest VirginiaWest VirginiaHoustonHoustonColoradoColorado
0.7%
BYUBYUArizonaArizonaWest VirginiaWest VirginiaBaylorBaylorCincinnatiCincinnatiColoradoColorado
0.4%
Texas TechTexas TechBYUBYUArizonaArizonaWest VirginiaWest VirginiaHoustonHoustonKansas StKansas StateColoradoColorado
0.4%
Oklahoma StOklahoma StateBYUBYUHoustonHoustonCincinnatiCincinnatiColoradoColorado
0.3%
Oklahoma StOklahoma StateBYUBYUArizonaArizonaWest VirginiaWest VirginiaCincinnatiCincinnatiColoradoColorado
0.2%
BYUBYUArizonaArizonaUCFUCFHoustonHoustonCincinnatiCincinnatiColoradoColorado
0.1%

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Big XIICCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team8-17-26-3Overall
BYUBYU100%50.1%0.7%71.3%
ColoradoCOLO100%50.9%5.3%71.3%
Arizona StASU-98.2%0.8%32.2%
Iowa StISU-52.6%<0.1%23.1%
Kansas StKSU--3.3%1.1%
BaylorBAY--2.0%0.7%
Texas TechTTU--0.3%0.1%
West VirginiaWVU--0.5%<0.1%
TCUTCU--<0.1%<0.1%
ArizonaARIZ----
CincinnatiCIN----
HoustonHOU----
KansasKU----
Oklahoma StOKST----
UCFUCF----
UtahUTAH----

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Big XIIFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team8-17-26-35-44-53-62-71-80-9Avg Wins
BYUBYU(6-1)46.4%49.6%4.0%------7.4
ColoradoCOLO(6-1)46.4%48.5%5.2%------7.4
Iowa StISU(5-2)-43.9%45.4%10.7%-----6.3
Arizona StASU(5-2)-32.4%50.3%17.3%-----6.2
TCUTCU(4-3)--39.4%48.8%11.8%----5.3
BaylorBAY(4-3)--36.7%51.9%11.4%----5.3
Texas TechTTU(4-3)--38.3%47.4%14.3%----5.2
Kansas StKSU(4-3)--33.4%56.7%9.9%----5.2
West VirginiaWVU(4-3)--18.5%48.9%32.6%----4.9
KansasKU(3-4)---25.8%50.2%24.0%---4.0
CincinnatiCIN(3-4)---7.9%48.3%43.8%---3.6
HoustonHOU(3-4)---1.7%25.9%72.4%---3.3
UCFUCF(2-5)----39.4%47.8%12.9%--3.3
ArizonaARIZ(2-5)----8.6%41.9%49.4%--2.6
UtahUTAH(1-6)-----7.5%40.1%52.4%-1.6
Oklahoma StOKST(0-7)------3.7%38.4%57.9%0.5

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com