Sun Belt Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios
Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants
50 of 108 scenarios
| Scenario | CCG Matchup | Probability |
|---|---|---|
 James MadisonJMU LouisianaUL | 9.5% | |
James MadisonJMU South AlabamaUSA | 8.9% | |
| James MadisonJMULouisianaUL | 7.0% | |
| James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA | 6.7% | |
James MadisonJMU Texas StateTXST | 3.9% | |
 Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL | 3.7% | |
| James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA | 3.7% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | 3.3% | |
| James MadisonJMUTexas StateTXST | 3.0% | |
| James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA | 2.7% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL | 2.7% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | 2.6% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaULLouisianaUL MarshallMRSH App StateAPPLouisianaUL | 2.2% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSAMarshallMRSHSouth AlabamaUSAApp StateAPPSouth AlabamaUSA | 2.0% | |
| James MadisonJMULouisianaUL | 1.8% | |
| James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA | 1.8% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOTexas StateTXST | 1.5% | |
| James MadisonJMULouisianaUL | 1.4% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | 1.4% | |
| James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA | 1.3% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOTexas StateTXST | 1.1% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | 1.0% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOTexas StateTXSTMarshallMRSHTexas StateTXSTApp StateAPPTexas StateTXST | 0.9% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL | 0.8% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSAMarshallMRSHSouth AlabamaUSAApp StateAPPSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.8% | |
| James MadisonJMUTexas StateTXST | 0.8% | |
| James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.7% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.7% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL | 0.7% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.7% | |
| James MadisonJMUTexas StateTXST | 0.6% | |
| James MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.5% | |
| James MadisonJMULouisianaUL | 0.5% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL | 0.5% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.5% | |
| MarshallMRSHTexas StateTXST | 0.4% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaULLouisianaULMarshallMRSHApp StateAPPLouisianaUL | 0.4% | |
| MarshallMRSHSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.4% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSAMarshallMRSHSouth AlabamaUSAApp StateAPPSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.4% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.4% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL | 0.4% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.3% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOTexas StateTXST | 0.3% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOTexas StateTXST | 0.3% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL | 0.3% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.3% | |
| James MadisonJMUTexas StateTXST | 0.3% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTexas StateTXSTJames MadisonJMUSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.2% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL | 0.2% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.2% |
How 
Tiebreakers Work
Divisional (East vs. West): each division champion is decided by head-to-head → next-highest team → non-divisional common opponents → strength of schedule, then the two champions meet in the CCG
Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.