Big XII Tiebreaker Scenarios
Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants
5 of 5 scenarios
| Scenario | CCG Matchup | Probability |
|---|---|---|
 Arizona StateASU Iowa StateISU | 29.6% | |
Arizona StateASU BYUBYU | 26.6% | |
| BYUBYUIowa StateISU | 11.9% | |
| Arizona StateASUIowa StateISU | 4.6% | |
CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASU ColoradoCOLOArizona StateASUIowa StateISUColoradoCOLOIowa StateISU | 2.8% |
How 
Tiebreakers Work
Head-to-head record → Record against the highest-placed common opponent → Next-highest, etc. → Strength of schedule → Total wins
Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.