Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
57.1%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W41-13 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W18-15 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W34-14 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W38-9 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W34-28 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W41-19 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | W38-35 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | W37-24 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | W22-21 | |
| 12 | 11/16 | L13-17 | |
| 13 | 11/23 | L23-28 | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:91% |
Data from 2024-11-24
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | 91.3% | 62.5% |
| 6-3 | 8.7% | 0.4% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-24
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-11-24
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 57.1% (+0.0%) | 57.1% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.4% (-56.7%) | 62.5% (+5.4%) | |
| 56.7% (-0.4%) | 57.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 57.0% (-0.1%) | 57.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 91.2% (+34.2%) | 26.3% (-30.8%) | |
| 57.2% (+0.1%) | 56.9% (-0.1%) | |
| 43.1% (-14.0%) | 91.4% (+34.3%) | |
| 57.2% (+0.1%) | 56.9% (-0.2%) |
Best Winner Combination for
BYU
Kansas StateCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 43.3%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
BYUKansas StateCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 43.3%
Ways for to Clinch 
CCG Spot This Week
BYUKansas StateBYU
Arizona
Oklahoma State
Texas Tech
Iowa State
KansasArizona
TCUData from 2024-11-24
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
62.5%
91.3%Data from 2024-11-24
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-24