Big XII

Big XII Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-11-24

Big XIIConference Standings

T1Arizona StASU6-29-270.8%
T1BYUBYU6-29-257.1%
T1Iowa StISU6-29-251.3%
T1ColoradoCOLO6-28-317.3%
T5Kansas StKSU5-38-32.2%
T5BaylorBAY5-37-41.1%
T5Texas TechTTU5-37-4<0.1%
T5West VirginiaWVU5-36-5<0.1%
T5TCUTCU5-37-4-
10KansasKU4-45-6-
T11CincinnatiCIN3-55-6-
T11HoustonHOU3-54-7-
T13ArizonaARIZ2-64-7-
T13UCFUCF2-64-7-
15UtahUTAH1-74-7-
16Oklahoma StOKST0-83-8-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Big XII CCG Matchups

135.9%
Arizona StASU
vs
ISUIowa St
230.6%
Arizona StASU
vs
BYUBYU
313.8%
BYUBYU
vs
ISUIowa St
411.0%
BYUBYU
vs
COLOColorado
53.9%
Arizona StASU
vs
COLOColorado
61.4%
ColoradoCOLO
vs
ISUIowa St
71.1%
BYUBYU
vs
KSUKansas St
80.7%
ColoradoCOLO
vs
KSUKansas St
90.5%
BYUBYU
vs
BAYBaylor
100.4%
BaylorBAY
vs
COLOColorado
110.3%
Arizona StASU
vs
KSUKansas St
12<0.1%
Arizona StASU
vs
BAYBaylor
13<0.1%
BaylorBAY
vs
ISUIowa St
14<0.1%
BaylorBAY
vs
KSUKansas St
15<0.1%
Kansas StKSU
vs
TTUTexas Tech

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

Big XIICCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Big XII CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 70.8%
Game
Arizona StCCG OddsAway
Arizona StCCG OddsHome
UtahUTAH@UCFUCF
70.7%
(-0.1%)		70.9%
(+0.1%)
HoustonHOU@BYUBYU
68.5%
(-2.3%)		71.0%
(+0.2%)
Oklahoma StOKST@ColoradoCOLO
71.2%
(+0.4%)		70.8%
(-0.1%)
West VirginiaWVU@Texas TechTTU
71.1%
(+0.3%)		70.6%
(-0.2%)
Kansas StKSU@Iowa StISU
70.7%
(-0.1%)		70.9%
(+0.1%)
KansasKU@BaylorBAY
71.0%
(+0.2%)		70.5%
(-0.3%)
Arizona StASU@ArizonaARIZ
99.7%
(+28.9%)		0.1%
(-70.7%)
TCUTCU@CincinnatiCIN
71.0%
(+0.2%)		70.5%
(-0.3%)

Best Winner Combination for Arizona St

BYUBYUArizona StArizona State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 64.8%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Arizona St

Arizona StArizona State

CCG: 99.7% • Scenario: 71.0%

Ways for Arizona St to Clinch Big XII CCG Spot This Week

BYUBYUArizona StArizona State
64.8%
Arizona StArizona StateTCUTCU
45.0%
KansasKansasArizona StArizona State
42.6%
Kansas StKansas StateArizona StArizona State
33.5%
West VirginiaWest VirginiaArizona StArizona State
31.3%
Oklahoma StOklahoma StateArizona StArizona State
9.4%
HoustonHoustonOklahoma StOklahoma StateWest VirginiaWest VirginiaKansasKansasCincinnatiCincinnati
0.1%

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

Big XIICCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team7-26-3Overall
Arizona StASU99.7%<0.1%70.8%
BYUBYU62.5%0.4%57.1%
Iowa StISU97.5%-51.3%
ColoradoCOLO20.0%-17.3%
Kansas StKSU-4.7%2.2%
BaylorBAY-2.8%1.1%
Texas TechTTU-0.2%<0.1%
West VirginiaWVU-0.1%<0.1%
ArizonaARIZ---
CincinnatiCIN---
HoustonHOU---
KansasKU---
Oklahoma StOKST---
TCUTCU---
UCFUCF---
UtahUTAH---

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

Big XIIFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team7-26-35-44-53-62-71-80-9Avg Wins
BYUBYU(6-2)91.3%8.7%------6.9
ColoradoCOLO(6-2)86.7%13.3%------6.9
Arizona StASU(6-2)71.0%29.0%------6.7
Iowa StISU(6-2)52.6%47.4%------6.5
TCUTCU(5-3)-63.3%36.7%-----5.6
Texas TechTTU(5-3)-56.0%44.0%-----5.6
Kansas StKSU(5-3)-47.4%52.6%-----5.5
West VirginiaWVU(5-3)-44.0%56.0%-----5.4
BaylorBAY(5-3)-40.0%60.1%-----5.4
KansasKU(4-4)--60.1%40.0%----4.6
CincinnatiCIN(3-5)---36.7%63.3%---3.4
HoustonHOU(3-5)---8.7%91.3%---3.1
UCFUCF(2-6)----67.7%32.4%--2.7
ArizonaARIZ(2-6)----29.0%71.0%--2.3
UtahUTAH(1-7)-----32.4%67.7%-1.3
Oklahoma StOKST(0-8)------13.3%86.7%0.1

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com