SEC Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-11-24
Conference Standings
| 1 |  TexasTEX | 6-1 | 10-1 | 80.1% | |
| 2 |  GeorgiaUGA | 6-2 | 9-2 | 100% | |
| T3 |  Texas A&MTA&M | 5-2 | 8-3 | 19.9% | |
| T3 |  TennesseeTENN | 5-2 | 9-2 | - | |
| 5 |  South CarolinaSC | 5-3 | 8-3 | - | |
| T6 |  AlabamaALA | 4-3 | 8-3 | - | |
| T6 |  LSULSU | 4-3 | 7-4 | - | |
| T6 |  Ole MissMISS | 4-3 | 8-3 | - | |
| T6 |  MissouriMIZ | 4-3 | 8-3 | - | |
| 10 |  FloridaFLA | 4-4 | 6-5 | - | |
| T11 |  ArkansasARK | 3-4 | 6-5 | - | |
| T11 |  VanderbiltVAN | 3-4 | 6-5 | - | |
| T13 |  AuburnAUB | 2-5 | 5-6 | - | |
| T13 |  OklahomaOU | 2-5 | 6-5 | - | |
| 15 |  KentuckyUK | 1-7 | 4-7 | - | |
| 16 |  Mississippi StateMSST | 0-7 | 2-9 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-11-24
Most Likely CCG Matchups
Data from 2024-11-24
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-24
This Week's Impact on CCG Odds
Current CCG Probability: 100.0%
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
FloridaCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 81.8%
Ways for to Clinch CCG Spot This Week
Ole MissGeorgiaTennesseeAlabamaFloridaTexasMissouri
Louisville
ClemsonLSU+10 more clinching scenarios
Data from 2024-11-24
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 7-1 | 6-2 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| GeorgiaUGA | - | 100% | 100% |
| TexasTEX | 100% | - | 80.1% |
| Texas A&MTA&M | - | 100% | 19.9% |
| AlabamaALA | - | - | - |
| ArkansasARK | - | - | - |
| AuburnAUB | - | - | - |
| FloridaFLA | - | - | - |
| KentuckyUK | - | - | - |
| LSULSU | - | - | - |
| Ole MissMISS | - | - | - |
| Mississippi StateMSST | - | - | - |
| MissouriMIZ | - | - | - |
| OklahomaOU | - | - | - |
| South CarolinaSC | - | - | - |
| TennesseeTENN | - | - | - |
| VanderbiltVAN | - | - | - |
Data from 2024-11-24
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 7-1 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 1-7 | 0-8 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TexasTEX(6-1) | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.8 |
| GeorgiaUGA(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| TennesseeTENN(5-2) | - | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.9 |
| Texas A&MTA&M(5-2) | - | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.2 |
| South CarolinaSC(5-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| Ole MissMISS(4-3) | - | - | 98.0% | 2.0% | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| AlabamaALA(4-3) | - | - | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | - | - | - | 4.9 |
| MissouriMIZ(4-3) | - | - | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | - | - | - | 4.7 |
| LSULSU(4-3) | - | - | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | - | - | - | 4.5 |
| FloridaFLA(4-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| ArkansasARK(3-4) | - | - | - | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | - | - | 3.3 |
| VanderbiltVAN(3-4) | - | - | - | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | - | - | 3.1 |
| OklahomaOU(2-5) | - | - | - | - | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | - | 2.5 |
| AuburnAUB(2-5) | - | - | - | - | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | - | 2.1 |
| KentuckyUK(1-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 1.0 |
| Mississippi StateMSST(0-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.0% | 98.0% | 0.0 |
Data from 2024-11-24