Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
100.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W34-3 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W48-3 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W13-12 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L34-41 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W31-13 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W41-31 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | W30-15 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | W34-20 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | L10-28 | |
| 12 | 11/16 | W31-17 | |
| 13 | 11/23 | W59-21 | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:95% |
Data from 2024-11-24
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-24
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 81.8%
Ways for
to Clinch
CCG Spot This Week
+10 more clinching scenarios
Data from 2024-11-24
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
94.8%100.0%
5.2%Data from 2024-11-24
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-24