Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
80.1%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W52-0 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W31-12 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W56-7 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W51-3 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W35-13 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W34-3 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | L15-30 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | W27-24 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | W49-17 | |
| 12 | 11/16 | W20-10 | |
| 13 | 11/23 | W31-14 | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:80% |
Data from 2024-11-24
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 80.1% | 100.0% |
| 6-2 | 19.9% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-24
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 80.0% (-0.0%) | 80.3% (+0.2%) | |
| 79.9% (-0.2%) | 80.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 80.1% (+0.1%) | 80.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 79.9% (-0.2%) | 80.2% (+0.2%) | |
| 79.8% (-0.2%) | 80.2% (+0.2%) | |
| 100.0% (+19.9%) | 0.0% (-80.1%) | |
| 80.1% (+0.1%) | 79.9% (-0.1%) | |
| 80.1% (-0.0%) | 80.2% (+0.2%) | |
| 78.1% (-1.9%) | 80.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 79.3% (-0.8%) | 80.1% (+0.1%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 80.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 80.1%
Ways for
to Clinch
CCG Spot This Week
Data from 2024-11-24
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
80.1%Data from 2024-11-24
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-24