Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	Overall
ToledoTOL	100%	99.7%	64.9%	4.1%	76.6%
Bowling GreenBGSU	100%	91.9%	29.8%	0.5%	32.4%
OhioOHIO	100%	92.9%	28.5%	0.5%	31.4%
Miami (OH)M-OH	-	99.4%	45.8%	1.0%	17.4%
Northern IllinoisNIU	-	93.6%	48.5%	1.4%	13.8%
Eastern MichiganEMU	100%	97.1%	39.2%	0.9%	13.2%
BuffaloBUF	100%	94.3%	34.1%	0.4%	9.1%
Western MichiganWMU	100%	83.6%	18.3%	0.2%	5.6%
Central MichiganCMU	100%	100%	63.7%	5.5%	0.6%
AkronAKR	-	-	60.0%	6.0%	<0.1%
Ball StateBALL	-	-	80.0%	1.7%	<0.1%
Kent StateKENT	-	-	50.0%	-	-

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
ToledoTOL(1-0)	20.1%	37.7%	28.5%	11.1%	2.3%	0.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	-	6.6
Bowling GreenBGSU(1-0)	3.5%	19.8%	35.3%	28.1%	11.1%	2.1%	0.2%	<0.1%	-	5.7
OhioOHIO(1-0)	3.1%	19.2%	36.4%	28.6%	10.6%	1.9%	0.2%	0.0%	-	5.7
Miami (OH)M-OH(0-1)	-	6.2%	23.7%	34.5%	24.5%	9.3%	1.6%	0.1%	0.0%	4.9
Northern IllinoisNIU(0-1)	-	4.1%	19.4%	34.5%	28.4%	11.3%	2.1%	0.2%	<0.1%	4.7
Eastern MichiganEMU(1-0)	0.5%	5.3%	18.4%	31.5%	27.8%	13.2%	3.0%	0.3%	-	4.7
BuffaloBUF(1-0)	0.3%	3.4%	16.1%	33.1%	30.7%	13.7%	2.6%	0.2%	-	4.6
Western MichiganWMU(1-0)	0.3%	3.2%	14.1%	29.6%	31.6%	17.1%	3.8%	0.3%	-	4.4
Central MichiganCMU(1-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.6%	4.0%	15.3%	32.5%	34.0%	13.6%	-	2.6
AkronAKR(0-2)	-	-	<0.1%	0.2%	2.3%	13.0%	33.5%	37.7%	13.3%	1.5
Ball StateBALL(0-2)	-	-	<0.1%	0.2%	2.0%	11.6%	32.2%	40.5%	13.6%	1.5
Kent StateKENT(0-1)	-	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.7%	5.9%	23.8%	42.5%	27.1%	1.1

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com