Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8/24 | W35-14 | |
| 1 | 8/31 | L13-16 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L13-31 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W36-7 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | L24-27 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | L7-28 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:9% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:51% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:12% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:9% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:48% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:49% |
Data from 2024-10-13
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | 0.1% | 29.4% |
| 4-3 | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| 3-4 | 17.2% | 0% |
| 2-5 | 37.1% | 0% |
| 1-6 | 32.8% | 0% |
| 0-7 | 10.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-13
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
UNLV
Wyoming
Utah State
Washington State
Colorado State
NevadaCCG: 0.4% • Scenario: 0.2%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Oregon StateWashington State
Fresno StateCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 31.9%
Data from 2024-10-13
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
30.0%
<0.1%Data from 2024-10-13
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-13