Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.8%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L7-48 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L13-17 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L14-34 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L17-44 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W31-19 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | L24-27 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:13% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:72% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:44% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:43% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:11% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:13% |
Data from 2024-10-13
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | 0.2% | 86.5% |
| 5-2 | 3.5% | 17.5% |
| 4-3 | 19.8% | 0.0% |
| 3-4 | 39.8% | 0% |
| 2-5 | 29.9% | 0% |
| 1-6 | 6.8% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-13
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-10-13
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8% (+0.0%) | 0.8% (-0.0%) | |
| 4.2% (+3.4%) | 0.3% (-0.5%) | |
| 0.8% (+0.0%) | 0.7% (-0.1%) | |
| 1.0% (+0.2%) | 0.8% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.7% (-0.1%) | 0.8% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.7% (-0.1%) | 1.0% (+0.2%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Oregon StateWyoming
Utah State
Hawai'i
Colorado State
NevadaCCG: 10.5% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
WyomingCCG: 4.2% • Scenario: 12.9%
Data from 2024-10-13
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-13