Mid-American Conference

Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-10-20

Mid-American ConferenceConference Standings

1W MichiganWMU3-04-317.5%
T2ToledoTOL2-15-261.9%
T2Miami OHM-OH2-13-447.4%
T2OhioOHIO2-14-321.7%
T2BuffaloBUF2-14-319.7%
T2Bowling GreenBGSU2-13-415.5%
T2E MichiganEMU2-15-25.2%
T8N IllinoisNIU1-24-311.2%
T8C MichiganCMU1-23-4<0.1%
T8Ball StBALL1-22-5<0.1%
T11AkronAKR0-31-6-
T11KentKENT0-30-7-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Mid-American Conference CCG Matchups

125.2%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
TOLToledo
29.2%
BuffaloBUF
vs
TOLToledo
38.2%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
OHIOOhio
47.6%
N IllinoisNIU
vs
TOLToledo
57.0%
ToledoTOL
vs
WMUW Michigan
66.0%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
TOLToledo
75.4%
OhioOHIO
vs
TOLToledo
84.6%
BuffaloBUF
vs
M-OHMiami OH
94.0%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
WMUW Michigan
102.9%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
M-OHMiami OH
112.6%
OhioOHIO
vs
WMUW Michigan
122.3%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
OHIOOhio
131.8%
E MichiganEMU
vs
M-OHMiami OH
141.7%
BuffaloBUF
vs
WMUW Michigan
151.7%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
BUFBuffalo

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Mid-American Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 61.9%
Game
ToledoCCG OddsAway
ToledoCCG OddsHome
BuffaloBUF@OhioOHIO
59.5%
(-2.4%)		62.7%
(+0.9%)
C MichiganCMU@Miami OHM-OH
65.2%
(+3.3%)		61.5%
(-0.4%)
KentKENT@W MichiganWMU
65.4%
(+3.6%)		61.5%
(-0.4%)
E MichiganEMU@AkronAKR
61.7%
(-0.1%)		62.2%
(+0.3%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@ToledoTOL
34.8%
(-27.1%)		72.5%
(+10.6%)
N IllinoisNIU@Ball StBALL
62.0%
(+0.1%)		61.1%
(-0.8%)

Best Winner Combination for Toledo

OhioOhioC MichiganCentral MichiganKentKent StateAkronAkronToledoToledoBall StBall State

CCG: 85.2% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Toledo

ToledoToledo

CCG: 72.5% • Scenario: 71.8%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team8-07-16-25-3Overall
ToledoTOL-99.9%67.3%2.4%61.9%
Miami OHM-OH-98.1%47.8%0.7%47.4%
OhioOHIO-99.4%22.7%0.3%21.7%
BuffaloBUF-96.8%45.9%0.4%19.7%
W MichiganWMU100%85.5%16.6%0.1%17.5%
Bowling GreenBGSU-99.5%34.8%0.1%15.5%
N IllinoisNIU--58.4%0.6%11.2%
E MichiganEMU-100%43.1%0.4%5.2%
C MichiganCMU--73.9%10.0%<0.1%
Ball StBALL--100%2.6%<0.1%
AkronAKR---4.8%-
KentKENT-----

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team8-07-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
ToledoTOL(2-1)-33.0%42.3%20.0%4.3%0.4%<0.1%--6.0
Miami OHM-OH(2-1)-26.3%44.7%24.1%4.5%0.3%<0.1%--5.9
OhioOHIO(2-1)-11.8%43.4%33.8%9.8%1.1%<0.1%--5.5
W MichiganWMU(3-0)1.5%12.2%33.1%36.7%15.2%1.3%---5.4
BuffaloBUF(2-1)-6.2%29.4%40.9%19.8%3.5%0.2%--5.1
Bowling GreenBGSU(2-1)-5.9%27.7%39.4%21.7%4.9%0.4%--5.1
N IllinoisNIU(1-2)--18.6%45.9%28.2%6.6%0.6%<0.1%-4.8
E MichiganEMU(2-1)-1.1%9.2%28.2%37.0%20.5%4.0%--4.2
C MichiganCMU(1-2)--<0.1%0.5%5.4%24.4%44.4%25.1%-2.1
Ball StBALL(1-2)--0.0%0.2%2.3%13.8%39.4%44.3%-1.7
AkronAKR(0-3)---<0.1%0.8%8.2%30.2%43.2%17.7%1.3
KentKENT(0-3)---0.0%<0.1%1.3%11.3%43.6%43.7%0.7

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com