Sun Belt Conference

Sun Belt Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-10-20

Sun Belt ConferenceConference Standings

T1Ga SouthernGASO3-05-259.3%
T1LouisianaUL3-06-120.8%
T1ULMULM3-05-12.4%
T4Texas StTXST2-14-348.4%
T4South AlabamaUSA2-13-426.8%
T4Old DominionODU2-13-43.7%
T4Arkansas StARST2-14-31.5%
T4MarshallMRSH2-14-31.0%
T9James MadisonJMU1-25-229.6%
T9Coastal CarCCU1-24-35.5%
T11Appalachian StAPP0-32-40.8%
T11Georgia StGAST0-32-4-
T11Southern MissUSM0-31-6-
T11TroyTROY0-31-6-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Sun Belt Conference CCG Matchups

128.7%
Ga SouthernGASO
vs
TXSTTexas St
216.0%
Ga SouthernGASO
vs
USASouth Alabama
314.3%
James MadisonJMU
vs
TXSTTexas St
412.2%
Ga SouthernGASO
vs
ULLouisiana
58.0%
James MadisonJMU
vs
USASouth Alabama
66.2%
James MadisonJMU
vs
ULLouisiana
72.8%
Coastal CarCCU
vs
TXSTTexas St
81.8%
Old DominionODU
vs
TXSTTexas St
91.4%
Ga SouthernGASO
vs
ULMULM
101.3%
Coastal CarCCU
vs
USASouth Alabama
111.3%
Coastal CarCCU
vs
ULLouisiana
121.0%
Old DominionODU
vs
USASouth Alabama
130.9%
Arkansas StARST
vs
GASOGa Southern
140.8%
LouisianaUL
vs
ODUOld Dominion
150.7%
James MadisonJMU
vs
ULMULM

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Sun Belt ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Sun Belt Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 59.3%
Game
Ga SouthernCCG OddsAway
Ga SouthernCCG OddsHome
Southern MissUSM@James MadisonJMU
59.6%
(+0.3%)		59.3%
(+0.0%)
Ga SouthernGASO@Old DominionODU
83.1%
(+23.8%)		38.2%
(-21.1%)
Georgia StGAST@Appalachian StAPP
59.8%
(+0.5%)		59.0%
(-0.3%)
ULMULM@South AlabamaUSA
59.4%
(+0.1%)		59.3%
(-0.0%)
TroyTROY@Arkansas StARST
59.3%
(+0.0%)		59.3%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Ga Southern

Southern MissSouthern MissGa SouthernGeorgia SouthernAppalachian StApp StateULMUL MonroeArkansas StArkansas State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Ga Southern

Ga SouthernGeorgia Southern

CCG: 83.1% • Scenario: 46.9%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Sun Belt ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team8-07-16-25-34-43-5Overall
Ga SouthernGASO100%96.8%81.8%42.8%7.2%-59.3%
Texas StTXST-100%56.3%12.6%1.6%-48.4%
James MadisonJMU--40.6%6.4%0.5%-29.6%
South AlabamaUSA-97.7%16.2%1.1%--26.8%
LouisianaUL100%40.5%2.6%---20.8%
Coastal CarCCU--46.2%18.9%3.2%-5.5%
Old DominionODU-91.4%13.7%2.1%--3.7%
ULMULM100%66.1%21.8%1.7%--2.4%
Arkansas StARST-29.2%9.5%3.0%0.5%-1.5%
MarshallMRSH-41.4%2.0%0.3%<0.1%-1.0%
Appalachian StAPP---100%15.9%<0.1%0.8%
Georgia StGAST-------
Southern MissUSM-------
TroyTROY-------

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Sun Belt ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team8-07-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
LouisianaUL(3-0)7.6%30.2%37.9%19.8%4.2%0.4%---6.2
Texas StTXST(2-1)-19.5%44.8%28.5%6.6%0.6%<0.1%--5.8
South AlabamaUSA(2-1)-20.2%41.8%29.1%8.1%0.8%<0.1%--5.7
James MadisonJMU(1-2)--68.6%27.3%3.9%0.3%<0.1%0.0%-5.6
Ga SouthernGASO(3-0)2.3%15.3%33.2%32.5%14.4%2.2%---5.5
MarshallMRSH(2-1)-1.3%18.1%40.8%30.1%8.8%0.8%--4.7
Old DominionODU(2-1)-1.4%13.1%32.4%33.7%16.4%3.1%--4.4
ULMULM(3-0)<0.1%0.8%6.5%24.5%42.2%25.9%---4.1
Arkansas StARST(2-1)-0.5%5.7%21.5%36.5%27.9%7.8%--3.9
Coastal CarCCU(1-2)--3.0%16.1%32.7%31.3%14.3%2.5%-3.5
TroyTROY(0-3)---4.1%21.5%38.3%27.9%7.7%0.5%2.8
Appalachian StAPP(0-3)---0.2%3.8%18.5%37.1%31.3%9.0%1.8
Georgia StGAST(0-3)---<0.1%1.4%12.6%35.4%37.6%13.0%1.5
Southern MissUSM(0-3)---0.0%<0.1%0.2%3.5%27.3%69.0%0.3

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com