Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	Overall
OhioOHIO	100%	98.1%	51.5%	1.8%	69.9%
Bowling GreenBGSU	100%	90.6%	30.2%	0.8%	30.9%
Miami (OH)M-OH	100%	97.6%	47.8%	2.4%	27.6%
Northern IllinoisNIU	100%	88.2%	25.6%	0.3%	24.1%
ToledoTOL	100%	89.3%	29.6%	0.5%	22.2%
BuffaloBUF	100%	91.6%	29.6%	0.5%	16.6%
Western MichiganWMU	100%	95.5%	37.9%	0.9%	3.3%
Central MichiganCMU	100%	80.8%	21.4%	0.3%	2.7%
AkronAKR	100%	87.9%	25.4%	0.3%	1.6%
Eastern MichiganEMU	100%	98.2%	56.1%	3.5%	0.9%
Ball StateBALL	-	100%	43.5%	1.3%	0.1%
MassachusettsMASS	-	100%	42.6%	1.7%	<0.1%
Kent StateKENT	-	-	5.6%	-	-

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
OhioOHIO(0-0)	19.7%	36.0%	28.2%	12.3%	3.1%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.6
Bowling GreenBGSU(0-0)	3.4%	19.0%	33.4%	27.5%	12.7%	3.4%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.6
Northern IllinoisNIU(0-0)	2.4%	15.2%	32.0%	30.6%	15.3%	4.0%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.4
ToledoTOL(0-0)	2.3%	12.8%	28.1%	31.1%	18.6%	6.1%	1.0%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.3
Miami (OH)M-OH(0-0)	1.9%	12.1%	27.6%	31.1%	19.2%	6.7%	1.3%	0.1%	0.0%	5.2
BuffaloBUF(0-0)	1.2%	8.9%	23.9%	31.9%	22.9%	8.9%	1.9%	0.2%	<0.1%	5.0
Central MichiganCMU(0-0)	0.1%	1.4%	6.9%	18.8%	29.2%	26.6%	13.4%	3.3%	0.3%	3.7
Western MichiganWMU(0-0)	<0.1%	1.0%	5.7%	18.0%	30.3%	27.5%	13.6%	3.4%	0.3%	3.7
AkronAKR(0-0)	<0.1%	0.5%	4.1%	15.2%	29.5%	30.7%	15.8%	3.8%	0.3%	3.5
Eastern MichiganEMU(0-0)	<0.1%	0.1%	1.1%	5.7%	16.4%	28.8%	29.0%	15.4%	3.5%	2.6
Ball StateBALL(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	1.7%	9.1%	25.5%	36.2%	22.8%	4.5%	2.2
MassachusettsMASS(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.1%	1.2%	6.2%	18.7%	33.3%	30.4%	10.1%	1.8
Kent StateKENT(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.3%	2.5%	11.7%	29.1%	37.6%	18.7%	1.4

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com