OhioBobcats

5-3 T2nd (3-1) in MAC

Data from 2025-10-26 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

69.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	@RutgersRUTG	L31-34
2	9/06	vsWest VirginiaWVU	W17-10
3	9/13	@Ohio StateOSU	L9-37
4	9/20	vsGardner-WebbGWEB	W52-35
5	9/27	vsBowling GreenBGSU	W35-20
6	10/04	@Ball StateBALL	L14-20
8	10/18	vsNorthern IllinoisNIU	W48-21
9	10/25	@Eastern MichiganEMU	W28-21
10	11/04	vsMiami (OH)M-OH	Win prob:78%
11	11/11	@Western MichiganWMU	Win prob:74%
12	11/18	vsMassachusettsMASS	Win prob:99%
14	11/28	@BuffaloBUF	Win prob:76%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	43.1%	100.0%
6-2	41.7%	63.0%
5-3	13.7%	1.6%
4-4	1.5%	0%
3-5	0.0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

48.8%

27.1%

11.4%

Western Michigan

10.2%

Central Michigan

2.5%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Central MichiganCMU@Western MichiganWMU	69.7% (+0.1%)	69.5% (-0.0%)
BuffaloBUF@Bowling GreenBGSU	67.6% (-2.0%)	71.3% (+1.7%)

Best Winner Combination for

Central Michigan

Bowling Green

CCG: 72.1% • Scenario: 11.2%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Bowling Green

CCG: 71.3% • Scenario: 54.2%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

43.1%

Any 1 loss

63.0%

41.7%

91.1%

0.6%

76.6%

13.5%

57.5%

12.1%

54.4%

15.5%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com