Sun Belt Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

Filter by team:

50 of 206 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
9-0 TroyTROY 8-1 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH	MarshallMRSHTroyTROY	1.7%
8-1 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH TroyTROY	MarshallMRSHTroyTROY	1.6%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 MarshallMRSH Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 53.3% MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 32.6% James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 4.0%	1.0%
9-0 TroyTROY 7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH	CCG participants not 100% certain MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 79.8% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 17.9% Georgia SouthernGASOTroyTROY 2.3%	1.0%
8-1 TroyTROY 7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH	CCG participants not 100% certain MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 76.1% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 20.2% Georgia SouthernGASOTroyTROY 3.7%	0.9%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 MarshallMRSH Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 88.1% James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 6.5% Arkansas StateARSTJames MadisonJMU 3.1%	0.9%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 87.8% James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 7.4% Arkansas StateARSTJames MadisonJMU 3.6%	0.8%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 MarshallMRSH Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 60.3% MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 39.7%	0.8%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 MarshallMRSH TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 93.6% Arkansas StateARSTJames MadisonJMU 6.4%	0.7%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 MarshallMRSH TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 56.8% MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 36.4% Arkansas StateARSTJames MadisonJMU 2.8%	0.7%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 MarshallMRSH Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.7%
8-1 TroyTROY 7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 75.0% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 21.9% Georgia SouthernGASOTroyTROY 3.0%	0.6%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.6%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 86.0% James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 7.3% Arkansas StateARSTJames MadisonJMU 3.5%	0.6%
8-1 TroyTROY 7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH Old DominionODU	CCG participants not 100% certain MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 80.6% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 19.4%	0.6%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 8-1 Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 78.3% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 21.6%	0.6%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 MarshallMRSH Old DominionODU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.6%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 MarshallMRSH Old DominionODU TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 59.5% MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 40.5%	0.6%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Old DominionODU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.5%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.5%
8-1 James MadisonJMU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 78.2% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 21.8%	0.5%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Old DominionODU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.4%
8-1 MarshallMRSH 7-2 James MadisonJMU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 87.7% MarshallMRSHSouthern MissUSM 7.1% Arkansas StateARSTMarshallMRSH 3.9%	0.4%
8-1 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain MarshallMRSHSouthern MissUSM 80.7% MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 19.4%	0.4%
9-0 TroyTROY 7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 80.5% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 17.5% Georgia SouthernGASOTroyTROY 2.0%	0.4%
7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 71.5% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 14.4% MarshallMRSHSouthern MissUSM 3.9%	0.3%
8-1 MarshallMRSH 7-2 James MadisonJMU TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 95.0% Arkansas StateARSTMarshallMRSH 5.0%	0.3%
8-1 MarshallMRSH 7-2 James MadisonJMU Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	MarshallMRSHTroyTROY	0.3%
7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 72.9% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 15.5% Arkansas StateARSTMarshallMRSH 5.4%	0.3%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST MarshallMRSH TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain Arkansas StateARSTJames MadisonJMU 50.2% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 49.8%	0.3%
8-1 TroyTROY 7-2 James MadisonJMU Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 86.5% MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 6.1% App StateAPPTroyTROY 4.5%	0.2%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST MarshallMRSH TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain Arkansas StateARSTJames MadisonJMU 27.8% Arkansas StateARSTMarshallMRSH 25.7% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 24.5%	0.2%
8-1 TroyTROY 7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 81.6% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 18.4%	0.2%
8-1 MarshallMRSH 7-2 James MadisonJMU Old DominionODU TroyTROY	MarshallMRSHTroyTROY	0.2%
7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 76.7% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 23.3%	0.2%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 54.8% Arkansas StateARSTJames MadisonJMU 45.2%	0.2%
8-1 TroyTROY 7-2 James MadisonJMU Old DominionODU	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 92.8% MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 4.3% App StateAPPTroyTROY 2.9%	0.2%
7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH Old DominionODU TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 79.3% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 20.7%	0.2%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST MarshallMRSH Old DominionODU TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 34.9% MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 27.4% Arkansas StateARSTJames MadisonJMU 21.1%	0.2%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 MarshallMRSH Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 25.9% James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 22.1% MarshallMRSHSouthern MissUSM 13.9%	0.2%
9-0 James MadisonJMU TroyTROY 8-1 Southern MissUSM	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.2%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST MarshallMRSH Old DominionODU TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 57.3% Arkansas StateARSTJames MadisonJMU 42.7%	0.1%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 54.2% Arkansas StateARSTJames MadisonJMU 45.8%	0.1%
8-1 Southern MissUSM 7-2 James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain MarshallMRSHSouthern MissUSM 69.2% James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 20.5% MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 5.5%	0.1%
8-1 TroyTROY 7-2 Arkansas StateARST James MadisonJMU MarshallMRSH	CCG participants not 100% certain MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 65.8% Arkansas StateARSTMarshallMRSH 17.1% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 13.0%	0.1%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Old DominionODU TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 65.7% Arkansas StateARSTJames MadisonJMU 34.3%	0.1%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 MarshallMRSH Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 29.8% James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 20.9% MarshallMRSHSouthern MissUSM 12.7%	0.1%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST MarshallMRSH Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 38.7% Arkansas StateARSTJames MadisonJMU 20.2% MarshallMRSHTroyTROY 16.9%	0.1%
7-2 James MadisonJMU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 82.5% Georgia SouthernGASOTroyTROY 5.8% James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 4.2%	0.1%
9-0 TroyTROY 8-1 James MadisonJMU Southern MissUSM	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.1%

How Tiebreakers Work

Divisional (East vs. West): each division champion is decided by head-to-head → next-highest team → non-divisional common opponents → strength of schedule, then the two champions meet in the CCG

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.