Conference USA Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

Filter by team:

4 of 4 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
8-1 Jacksonville StateJXST 7-2 Kennesaw StateKENN Missouri StateMOST Western KentuckyWKU	CCG participants not 100% certain Jacksonville StateJXSTKennesaw StateKENN 50.2% Jacksonville StateJXSTWestern KentuckyWKU 49.8%	28.4%
8-1 Jacksonville StateJXST 7-2 Kennesaw StateKENN Western KentuckyWKU	CCG participants not 100% certain Jacksonville StateJXSTWestern KentuckyWKU 51.1% Jacksonville StateJXSTKennesaw StateKENN 48.9%	23.2%
8-1 Western KentuckyWKU 7-2 Jacksonville StateJXST Kennesaw StateKENN Missouri StateMOST	CCG participants not 100% certain Missouri StateMOSTWestern KentuckyWKU 34.3% Kennesaw StateKENNWestern KentuckyWKU 33.1% Jacksonville StateJXSTWestern KentuckyWKU 32.6%	10.3%
8-1 Western KentuckyWKU 7-2 Jacksonville StateJXST Kennesaw StateKENN	Jacksonville StateJXSTWestern KentuckyWKU	8.4%

Head-to-head → CFP rank → Computer rankings composite → Academic Progress Rate

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.