Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
80.9%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | L17-31 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W73-0 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | W38-14 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | W24-21 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W30-14 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | W27-24 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | W37-20 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | W29-22 | |
| 11 | 11/08 | W20-9 | |
| 12 | 11/15 | L21-23 | |
| 13 | 11/22 | W56-0 | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:81% |
Data from 2025-11-23
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 80.9% | 100.0% |
| 6-2 | 19.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-11-23
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 80.8% (-0.1%) | 80.9% (+0.1%) | |
| 80.9% (+0.0%) | 80.7% (-0.1%) | |
| 80.9% (+0.0%) | 80.8% (-0.1%) | |
| 80.8% (-0.0%) | 80.9% (+0.0%) | |
| 80.9% (+0.0%) | 80.8% (-0.1%) | |
| 100.0% (+19.1%) | 0.0% (-80.9%) | |
| 80.8% (-0.1%) | 80.9% (+0.1%) | |
| 80.8% (-0.0%) | 80.9% (+0.0%) | |
| 80.9% (+0.0%) | 80.8% (-0.0%) | |
| 81.1% (+0.2%) | 80.8% (-0.1%) |
Best Winner Combination for
AlabamaCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 80.9%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
AlabamaCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 80.9%
Ways for to Clinch 
CCG Spot This Week
AlabamaData from 2025-11-23
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
100.0%
80.9%Data from 2025-11-23
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-23