Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
63.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | W45-7 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W28-6 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | W44-41 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | L21-24 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W35-14 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | W20-10 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | W43-35 | |
| 10 | 11/01 | W24-20 | |
| 11 | 11/08 | W41-21 | |
| 12 | 11/15 | W35-10 | |
| 13 | 11/22 | W35-3 | |
| 14 | 11/28 | Win prob:94% |
Data from 2025-11-23
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 100.0% | 63.0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-11-23
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2025-11-23
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 19.2% (-43.8%) | 100.0% (+37.0%) | |
| 63.0% (-0.0%) | 63.4% (+0.4%) | |
| 63.0% (-0.0%) | 63.5% (+0.4%) | |
| 63.2% (+0.1%) | 62.8% (-0.2%) | |
| 63.2% (+0.1%) | 62.7% (-0.3%) | |
| 54.3% (-8.8%) | 100.0% (+37.0%) | |
| 62.9% (-0.1%) | 63.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 63.0% (+0.0%) | 63.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 62.8% (-0.2%) | 63.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 62.8% (-0.2%) | 63.1% (+0.1%) |
Best Winner Combination for
TexasCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 54.2%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
TexasCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 54.2%
Ways for to Clinch 
CCG Spot This Week
Texas
AuburnData from 2025-11-23
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
63.0%
93.6%
63.5%
6.4%Data from 2025-11-23
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-23