Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	Overall
ToledoTOL	100%	99.6%	73.9%	11.1%	-	48.9%
Miami (OH)M-OH	100%	99.6%	72.0%	9.3%	-	31.9%
OhioOHIO	100%	97.9%	58.2%	4.5%	<0.1%	28.6%
Bowling GreenBGSU	100%	98.3%	62.5%	5.0%	-	23.8%
Northern IllinoisNIU	100%	98.9%	69.5%	8.4%	<0.1%	23.6%
Ball StateBALL	100%	98.8%	69.8%	8.3%	-	13.0%
BuffaloBUF	100%	97.7%	60.3%	4.9%	-	10.7%
Western MichiganWMU	100%	95.0%	49.7%	3.4%	-	8.7%
Eastern MichiganEMU	100%	98.4%	61.3%	4.7%	-	5.9%
Central MichiganCMU	100%	100%	77.7%	14.0%	<0.1%	4.3%
AkronAKR	-	93.8%	72.6%	8.2%	-	0.4%
Kent StateKENT	100%	100%	65.0%	5.4%	-	0.2%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
ToledoTOL(0-0)	4.9%	19.0%	30.1%	26.4%	14.0%	4.6%	0.9%	0.1%	<0.1%	5.6
OhioOHIO(0-0)	1.8%	10.6%	25.8%	31.1%	20.8%	8.1%	1.7%	0.2%	<0.1%	5.1
Miami (OH)M-OH(0-0)	1.8%	10.2%	23.8%	30.1%	21.9%	9.5%	2.4%	0.3%	<0.1%	5.0
Bowling GreenBGSU(0-0)	1.2%	8.0%	21.2%	30.0%	24.6%	11.5%	3.1%	0.4%	<0.1%	4.8
Northern IllinoisNIU(0-0)	1.0%	6.8%	19.3%	28.9%	25.7%	13.5%	4.1%	0.6%	<0.1%	4.7
BuffaloBUF(0-0)	0.3%	2.7%	11.0%	24.0%	29.7%	21.8%	8.6%	1.7%	0.1%	4.1
Western MichiganWMU(0-0)	0.3%	2.6%	10.3%	23.1%	29.7%	22.5%	9.3%	2.0%	0.2%	4.0
Ball StateBALL(0-0)	0.4%	3.2%	10.9%	22.1%	27.3%	21.8%	10.8%	3.1%	0.4%	4.0
Eastern MichiganEMU(0-0)	0.1%	1.2%	6.2%	17.2%	27.9%	27.0%	15.3%	4.7%	0.5%	3.6
Central MichiganCMU(0-0)	<0.1%	0.5%	3.0%	10.8%	22.8%	29.5%	22.5%	9.3%	1.6%	3.1
AkronAKR(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.3%	1.8%	8.4%	21.8%	32.6%	26.3%	8.7%	2.0
Kent StateKENT(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	1.4%	7.3%	21.2%	33.9%	27.5%	8.5%	2.0

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com