Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.4%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | Win prob:1% | |
| 2 | 9/07 | Win prob:12% | |
| 3 | 9/14 | Win prob:90% | |
| 4 | 9/21 | Win prob:7% | |
| 5 | 9/28 | Win prob:11% | |
| 6 | 10/05 | Win prob:22% | |
| 7 | 10/12 | Win prob:24% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:37% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:31% | |
| 12 | 11/13 | Win prob:12% | |
| 13 | 11/19 | Win prob:50% | |
| 14 | 11/26 | Win prob:14% |
Data from 2024-08-23
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | 0% | 0% |
| 7-1 | 0.0% | 93.8% |
| 6-2 | 0.3% | 72.6% |
| 5-3 | 1.8% | 8.2% |
| 4-4 | 8.4% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 21.8% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 32.6% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 26.3% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 8.7% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-08-23
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-08-23
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|
Data from 2024-08-23
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Any 3 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%Any 4 losses
73.3%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%Data from 2024-08-23