Hawaii

Hawai'iRainbow Warriors

0-0 T1st (0-0) in MWC

Data from 2024-08-23 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

HawaiiSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
08/24
vsDelaware StateDSU
Win prob:90%
18/31
vsUCLAUCLA
Win prob:19%
39/14
@Sam Houston StSHSU
Win prob:19%
49/21
vsNorthern IowaUNI
Win prob:90%
610/05
@San Diego StSDSU
Win prob:21%
710/12
vsBoise StBOIS
Win prob:13%
810/19
@Washington StWSU
Win prob:12%
910/26
vsNevadaNEV
Win prob:54%
1011/02
@Fresno StFRES
Win prob:11%
1111/09
vsUNLVUNLV
Win prob:20%
1211/16
@Utah StUSU
Win prob:29%
1411/30
vsNew MexicoUNM
Win prob:60%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

HawaiiRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-0
0%
100.0%
6-1
0.1%
89.5%
5-2
1.6%
19.0%
4-3
8.2%
0.1%
3-4
23.1%
0%
2-5
35.5%
0%
1-6
25.2%
0%
0-7
6.5%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Hawaii CCG Opponents

if Hawaii makes the CCG

Boise StateBoise St
32.5%
Air ForceAir Force
22.5%
Fresno StateFresno St
17.5%
UNLVUNLV
15.0%
San José StateSan Jose St
12.5%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

HawaiiThis Week's Impact

Game
HawaiiCCG OddsAway
HawaiiCCG OddsHome
SMUSMU@NevadaNEV
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.1%)
Montana StateMTST@New MexicoUNM
0.4%
(-0.1%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
Delaware StateDSU@HawaiiHAW
0.4%
(-0.1%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Hawaii

SMUSMUMontana StateMontana StateDelaware StateDelaware State

CCG: 0.7% • Scenario: 0.9%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Hawaii

New MexicoNew MexicoHawaiiHawai'i

CCG: 0.4% • Scenario: 80.9%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

HawaiiLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Hawaii CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Fresno StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
UCLAUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
48.3%
<0.1%
Boise StSam Houston StUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StSan Diego StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSam Houston StUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUCLAWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
UCLAUNLVWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUCLAUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StUCLAWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUNLVWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaUCLAWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
UCLAUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Northern IowaSan Diego StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUCLAUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSam Houston StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StUCLAUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUCLAUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUCLAUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUCLAWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Delaware StateFresno StUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaSam Houston StUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUCLAWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUCLAUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Delaware StateUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSam Houston StWashington St
88.9%
<0.1%
Boise StNevadaSam Houston St
66.7%
<0.1%
San Diego StUNLVWashington St
60.0%
<0.1%
UNLVUtah StWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoSam Houston St
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNevadaWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
NevadaSam Houston StUNLV
50.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoUCLAUNLV
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoSam Houston St
50.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUtah StWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNevadaWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah StWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StUCLA
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSam Houston StSan Diego St
40.0%
<0.1%
Boise StUtah StWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
Boise StSam Houston StSan Diego St
33.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StUCLAUtah St
25.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSam Houston StUNLV
25.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StUCLA
25.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StWashington St
20.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSam Houston StUNLV
16.7%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StWashington St
12.5%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
29.7%
0.4%
Fresno StSam Houston StUCLAWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNorthern IowaSan Diego StUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StNorthern IowaSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUCLAUNLVWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Delaware StateFresno StSan Diego StUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUCLAUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoSam Houston StUCLAWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Northern IowaUCLAUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUCLAUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoSam Houston StUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNorthern IowaSam Houston StUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaSam Houston StUCLAWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNorthern IowaSam Houston StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoUCLAUNLVWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Northern IowaSam Houston StUNLVWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaSam Houston StUCLAUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Delaware StateSam Houston StUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoUCLAUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StSan Diego StUCLAWashington St
91.7%
<0.1%
Boise StSam Houston StUCLAWashington St
83.3%
<0.1%
UCLAUNLVUtah StWashington St
75.0%
<0.1%
NevadaSan Diego StUCLAWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
Boise StDelaware StateFresno StWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSam Houston StUtah StWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNevadaSam Houston StUCLA
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNorthern IowaSam Houston StUCLA
50.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StSan Diego StUCLAUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
NevadaUCLAUNLVWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoSam Houston StWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
Boise StNevadaSam Houston StWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
Boise StSam Houston StSan Diego StWashington St
31.3%
<0.1%
San Diego StUCLAUNLVWashington St
26.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StUCLAWashington St
26.3%
<0.1%
NevadaSam Houston StSan Diego StWashington St
25.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoSam Houston StUtah St
25.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoUCLAWashington St
25.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoSam Houston StWashington St
25.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNevadaSam Houston StSan Diego St
25.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSam Houston StUtah StWashington St
22.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StUCLAUNLVWashington St
21.4%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StSam Houston StUCLA
20.8%
<0.1%
Fresno StNevadaSam Houston StWashington St
20.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StUCLAWashington St
18.8%
<0.1%
Fresno StSam Houston StSan Diego StUCLA
18.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StSam Houston StSan Diego StWashington St
17.6%
<0.1%
Fresno StSam Houston StUCLAUtah St
16.7%
<0.1%
Boise StUCLAUtah StWashington St
16.7%
<0.1%
Boise StSam Houston StUCLAUNLV
14.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StSam Houston StUNLVWashington St
12.5%
<0.1%
Boise StSam Houston StUCLAUtah St
12.5%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StUCLAWashington St
12.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUCLAUtah StWashington St
10.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StSam Houston StWashington St
7.1%
<0.1%
Boise StSam Houston StUNLVWashington St
6.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com