Mountain West Conference Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	7-0	6-1	5-2	4-3	Overall
Boise StateBOIS	100%	89.8%	24.4%	0.2%	51.8%
Air ForceAF	100%	84.5%	18.3%	0.1%	40.5%
UNLVUNLV	100%	95.8%	37.1%	0.4%	32.0%
Fresno StateFRES	100%	86.7%	15.9%	<0.1%	29.6%
San José StateSJSU	100%	99.3%	48.2%	0.9%	29.0%
San Diego StateSDSU	100%	92.2%	25.3%	0.3%	7.0%
WyomingWYO	100%	92.9%	29.2%	0.3%	4.0%
Utah StateUSU	100%	77.4%	10.9%	<0.1%	4.0%
Colorado StateCSU	100%	83.0%	16.4%	<0.1%	0.8%
NevadaNEV	100%	98.3%	48.7%	0.7%	0.5%
Hawai'iHAW	100%	89.5%	19.0%	0.1%	0.4%
New MexicoUNM	100%	81.5%	13.9%	0.1%	0.4%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	7-0	6-1	5-2	4-3	3-4	2-5	1-6	0-7	Avg Wins
Boise StateBOIS(0-0)	13.5%	33.7%	33.0%	15.3%	3.9%	0.6%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.4
Air ForceAF(0-0)	10.1%	28.8%	33.2%	19.8%	6.7%	1.3%	0.1%	<0.1%	5.1
Fresno StateFRES(0-0)	5.1%	21.8%	35.0%	26.0%	9.9%	1.9%	0.2%	<0.1%	4.8
UNLVUNLV(0-0)	3.8%	17.2%	31.3%	28.7%	14.5%	3.9%	0.5%	<0.1%	4.5
San José StateSJSU(0-0)	2.1%	12.9%	28.5%	31.5%	18.5%	5.6%	0.8%	<0.1%	4.3
San Diego StateSDSU(0-0)	0.3%	3.3%	14.3%	29.4%	31.2%	16.8%	4.3%	0.4%	3.4
Utah StateUSU(0-0)	0.2%	3.0%	13.1%	27.8%	31.0%	18.7%	5.6%	0.7%	3.3
WyomingWYO(0-0)	0.1%	1.6%	8.2%	21.9%	31.5%	24.8%	10.4%	1.6%	2.9
Colorado StateCSU(0-0)	<0.1%	0.4%	3.1%	12.8%	28.4%	32.4%	18.9%	4.0%	2.4
Hawai'iHAW(0-0)	0.0%	0.1%	1.6%	8.2%	23.1%	35.5%	25.2%	6.5%	2.1
New MexicoUNM(0-0)	<0.1%	0.2%	1.7%	7.9%	21.3%	32.7%	27.1%	9.1%	2.0
NevadaNEV(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.8%	5.3%	18.9%	35.0%	30.6%	9.4%	1.8

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com