Nevada

NevadaWolf Pack

0-0 T1st (0-0) in MWC

Data from 2024-08-23 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

NevadaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
08/24
vsSMUSMU
Win prob:11%
18/31
@TroyTROY
Win prob:8%
29/07
vsGa SouthernGASO
Win prob:42%
39/14
@MinnesotaMINN
Win prob:17%
49/21
vsEastern WashingtonEWU
Win prob:90%
610/05
@San Jose StSJSU
Win prob:13%
710/12
vsOregon StORST
Win prob:14%
810/18
vsFresno StFRES
Win prob:22%
910/26
@HawaiiHAW
Win prob:46%
1011/02
vsColorado StCSU
Win prob:59%
1111/09
@Boise StBOIS
Win prob:8%
1311/23
vsAir ForceAF
Win prob:20%
1411/30
@UNLVUNLV
Win prob:13%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-0
0%
100.0%
6-1
0.1%
98.3%
5-2
0.8%
48.7%
4-3
5.3%
0.7%
3-4
18.9%
0%
2-5
35.0%
0%
1-6
30.6%
0%
0-7
9.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Nevada CCG Opponents

if Nevada makes the CCG

Boise StateBoise St
37.8%
Air ForceAir Force
20.0%
San José StateSan Jose St
17.8%
UNLVUNLV
15.6%
Fresno StateFresno St
8.9%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaThis Week's Impact

Game
NevadaCCG OddsAway
NevadaCCG OddsHome
SMUSMU@NevadaNEV
0.5%
(-0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.2%)
Montana StateMTST@New MexicoUNM
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
Delaware StateDSU@HawaiiHAW
0.5%
(+0.1%)		0.5%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Nevada

NevadaNevadaMontana StateMontana StateDelaware StateDelaware State

CCG: 1.0% • Scenario: 0.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Nevada

NevadaNevada

CCG: 0.7% • Scenario: 11.3%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Nevada CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 3 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Jose StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMinnesotaTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceMinnesotaTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMinnesotaTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceGa SouthernMinnesotaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceFresno StOregon StTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StGa SouthernMinnesotaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StSMUTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMinnesotaTroyUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernMinnesotaSMUSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StMinnesotaTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Colorado StOregon StSMUTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMinnesotaSMUTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Colorado StGa SouthernMinnesotaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceMinnesotaSMUTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceFresno StSMUTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMinnesotaOregon StTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMinnesotaSan Jose StTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Colorado StSMUTroyUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOregon StSMUSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSMUTroyUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBoise StOregon StSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOregon StSMUUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSan Jose StTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StGa SouthernSMUSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBoise StOregon StTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceOregon StSMUSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOregon StSMUTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StOregon StTroy
66.7%
<0.1%
Boise StSMUSan Jose StTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StTroyUNLV
50.0%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com