BaylorBears

4-4 T10th (2-3) in B12

Data from 2024-10-27 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsTarleton StateTAR	W45-3
2	9/07	@UtahUTAH	L12-23
3	9/14	vsAir ForceAF	W31-3
4	9/21	@ColoradoCOLO	L31-38
5	9/28	vsBYUBYU	L28-34
6	10/05	@Iowa StateISU	L21-43
8	10/19	@Texas TechTTU	W59-35
9	10/26	vsOklahoma StateOKST	W38-28
10	11/02	vsTCUTCU	Win prob:62%
12	11/16	@West VirginiaWVU	Win prob:43%
13	11/23	@HoustonHOU	Win prob:72%
14	11/30	vsKansasKU	Win prob:47%

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-3	9.2%	0.5%
5-4	31.1%	0%
4-5	37.7%	0%
3-6	18.7%	0%
2-7	3.3%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

40.0%

40.0%

20.0%

0.0%

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Texas TechTTU@Iowa StateISU	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.0% (-0.0%)
TCUTCU@BaylorBAY	0.0% (-0.1%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Arizona StateASU@Oklahoma StateOKST	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
ArizonaARIZ@UCFUCF	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Kansas StateKSU@HoustonHOU	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.2%)

Best Winner Combination for

Texas Tech

Baylor

Oklahoma State

Arizona

Houston

CCG: 1.4% • Scenario: 0.2%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Baylor

Houston

CCG: 0.4% • Scenario: 5.4%

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

0.5%

9.2%

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com