Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
23.5%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W31-7 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W77-3 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W42-13 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W52-14 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W42-28 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W41-24 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | W56-7 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | W31-17 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | W47-10 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:71% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:20% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:98% |
Data from 2024-11-03
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 9-0 | 13.7% | 100.0% |
| 8-1 | 61.7% | 15.8% |
| 7-2 | 24.2% | 0.2% |
| 6-3 | 0.4% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-03
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-11-03
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 23.6% (+0.1%) | 23.1% (-0.5%) | |
| 19.4% (-4.1%) | 25.2% (+1.7%) | |
| 23.5% (-0.0%) | 23.6% (+0.1%) | |
| 27.9% (+4.4%) | 23.4% (-0.1%) | |
| 42.8% (+19.3%) | 23.3% (-0.2%) | |
| 29.4% (+5.9%) | 22.3% (-1.2%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Indiana
Purdue
WashingtonCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
IndianaWashingtonCCG: 33.4% • Scenario: 12.1%
Ways for to Clinch 
CCG Spot This Week
IndianaPurdueWashingtonData from 2024-11-03
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
100.0%
13.7%Any 1 loss
15.8%
61.7%
100.0%
5.6%100.0%
0.2%
7.0%
55.9%14.1%
<0.1%Data from 2024-11-03
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-03