Mid-American Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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50 of 156 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
8-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL	2.4%
8-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL	2.3%
7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 97.0% Bowling GreenBGSUToledoTOL 2.7%	2.1%
8-1 OhioOHIO 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU Miami (OH)M-OH Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 50.9% Bowling GreenBGSUOhioOHIO 31.0% OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 18.1%	1.9%
7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL	1.8%
8-1 OhioOHIO 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU Miami (OH)M-OH	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 62.2% Bowling GreenBGSUOhioOHIO 37.8%	1.7%
8-1 Bowling GreenBGSU 7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Bowling GreenBGSUToledoTOL 99.5%	1.7%
8-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 7-2 OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO	1.7%
8-1 Bowling GreenBGSU 7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	Bowling GreenBGSUToledoTOL	1.6%
8-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU OhioOHIO	CCG participants not 100% certain Bowling GreenBGSUMiami (OH)M-OH 73.8% Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 26.2%	1.3%
8-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Bowling GreenBGSUMiami (OH)M-OH 89.8% Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 10.2%	1.3%
7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Bowling GreenBGSUMiami (OH)M-OH 50.1% Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 17.0% Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU 15.6%	1.2%
8-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 7-2 OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL	1.2%
8-1 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO	1.1%
7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 99.3%	1.0%
8-1 Western MichiganWMU 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 98.8%	1.0%
7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO	CCG participants not 100% certain Bowling GreenBGSUMiami (OH)M-OH 69.8% Bowling GreenBGSUOhioOHIO 19.1% Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 11.2%	1.0%
8-1 Bowling GreenBGSU 7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO	Bowling GreenBGSUMiami (OH)M-OH	1.0%
8-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU ToledoTOL	Bowling GreenBGSUMiami (OH)M-OH	0.9%
8-1 Bowling GreenBGSU 7-2 OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	Bowling GreenBGSUToledoTOL	0.9%
8-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 7-2 OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 65.9% Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU 34.1%	0.9%
8-1 OhioOHIO 7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH Western MichiganWMU	Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO	0.9%
8-1 Bowling GreenBGSU 7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	Bowling GreenBGSUMiami (OH)M-OH	0.9%
8-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	Bowling GreenBGSUMiami (OH)M-OH	0.9%
8-1 Bowling GreenBGSU 7-2 OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Bowling GreenBGSUWestern MichiganWMU 51.9% Bowling GreenBGSUOhioOHIO 48.1%	0.8%
8-1 Western MichiganWMU 7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU	0.8%
7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 59.2% Bowling GreenBGSUToledoTOL 40.8%	0.8%
7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 51.5% Bowling GreenBGSUToledoTOL 29.8% ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 18.0%	0.8%
8-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU BuffaloBUF OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL	0.8%
8-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU BuffaloBUF OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL	0.7%
8-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 7-2 ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU 79.0% Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 21.0%	0.7%
8-1 Bowling GreenBGSU 7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	Bowling GreenBGSUToledoTOL	0.7%
7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU BuffaloBUF Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain BuffaloBUFToledoTOL 77.0% Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 19.8% Bowling GreenBGSUToledoTOL 3.0%	0.7%
8-1 Bowling GreenBGSU 7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL	Bowling GreenBGSUToledoTOL	0.7%
8-1 OhioOHIO 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU BuffaloBUF Miami (OH)M-OH Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 49.8% BuffaloBUFOhioOHIO 33.4% OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 16.7%	0.6%
7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL	0.6%
7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Bowling GreenBGSUToledoTOL 71.4% OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 23.4% OhioOHIOToledoTOL 5.2%	0.6%
7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU BuffaloBUF Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 79.3% BuffaloBUFToledoTOL 20.1%	0.6%
8-1 Western MichiganWMU 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO	CCG participants not 100% certain Bowling GreenBGSUWestern MichiganWMU 58.8% Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU 37.0% OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 4.2%	0.6%
8-1 OhioOHIO 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Bowling GreenBGSUOhioOHIO 70.3% OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 29.7%	0.6%
7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 66.0% Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU 31.4% OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 2.7%	0.6%
8-1 Bowling GreenBGSU 7-2 BuffaloBUF Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	Bowling GreenBGSUToledoTOL	0.5%
8-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 7-2 BuffaloBUF OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL	0.5%
8-1 OhioOHIO 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU BuffaloBUF Miami (OH)M-OH	BuffaloBUFOhioOHIO	0.5%
8-1 Bowling GreenBGSU 7-2 BuffaloBUF Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	Bowling GreenBGSUToledoTOL	0.5%
8-1 Bowling GreenBGSU 7-2 OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Bowling GreenBGSUWestern MichiganWMU 79.3% Bowling GreenBGSUOhioOHIO 20.8%	0.5%
7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	Bowling GreenBGSUToledoTOL	0.4%
8-1 Western MichiganWMU 7-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO	Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU	0.4%
8-1 Western MichiganWMU 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL	CCG participants not 100% certain Bowling GreenBGSUWestern MichiganWMU 61.7% ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 38.4%	0.4%
8-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 7-2 Bowling GreenBGSU BuffaloBUF OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain BuffaloBUFMiami (OH)M-OH 49.2% Bowling GreenBGSUMiami (OH)M-OH 35.5% Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU 7.7%	0.4%

How Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Next-highest opponent → Strength of schedule → Team Rating Score

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.