Mid-American Conference

Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-11-17

Mid-American ConferenceConference Standings

T1Miami OHM-OH5-16-451.3%
T1OhioOHIO5-17-348.6%
T1Bowling GreenBGSU5-16-447.4%
T4ToledoTOL4-27-342.4%
T4BuffaloBUF4-26-48.3%
T4W MichiganWMU4-25-51.9%
7N IllinoisNIU3-36-4-
T8Ball StBALL2-43-7-
T8E MichiganEMU2-45-5-
T10AkronAKR1-52-8-
T10C MichiganCMU1-53-7-
12KentKENT0-60-10-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Mid-American Conference CCG Matchups

123.0%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
OHIOOhio
222.3%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
TOLToledo
321.6%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
OHIOOhio
417.7%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
TOLToledo
55.3%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
M-OHMiami OH
64.0%
BuffaloBUF
vs
OHIOOhio
72.4%
BuffaloBUF
vs
TOLToledo
81.7%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
WMUW Michigan
91.2%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
BUFBuffalo
100.6%
BuffaloBUF
vs
M-OHMiami OH
110.1%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
WMUW Michigan
12<0.1%
OhioOHIO
vs
WMUW Michigan
13<0.1%
BuffaloBUF
vs
WMUW Michigan
14-
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
NIUN Illinois
15-
OhioOHIO
vs
TOLToledo

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Mid-American Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 51.3%
Game
Miami OHCCG OddsAway
Miami OHCCG OddsHome
AkronAKR@KentKENT
50.8%
(-0.5%)		52.6%
(+1.3%)
W MichiganWMU@C MichiganCMU
50.8%
(-0.5%)		52.3%
(+1.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@Ball StBALL
49.3%
(-2.1%)		63.0%
(+11.7%)
N IllinoisNIU@Miami OHM-OH
36.4%
(-14.9%)		58.3%
(+6.9%)
OhioOHIO@ToledoTOL
48.5%
(-2.9%)		54.2%
(+2.8%)
BuffaloBUF@E MichiganEMU
43.0%
(-8.4%)		57.2%
(+5.9%)

Best Winner Combination for Miami OH

AkronAkronC MichiganCentral MichiganBall StBall StateMiami OHMiami (OH)ToledoToledoE MichiganEastern Michigan

CCG: 98.3% • Scenario: 0.8%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Miami OH

Miami OHMiami (OH)

CCG: 58.3% • Scenario: 68.4%

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team7-16-25-3Overall
Miami OHM-OH100%31.5%-51.3%
OhioOHIO100%3.6%-48.6%
Bowling GreenBGSU100%13.7%-47.4%
ToledoTOL-93.5%<0.1%42.4%
BuffaloBUF-21.7%-8.3%
W MichiganWMU-4.9%<0.1%1.9%
AkronAKR----
Ball StBALL----
C MichiganCMU----
E MichiganEMU----
KentKENT----
N IllinoisNIU--<0.1%-

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team7-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
OhioOHIO(5-1)46.8%50.3%2.9%-----6.4
Bowling GreenBGSU(5-1)40.4%51.8%7.8%-----6.3
Miami OHM-OH(5-1)35.9%49.1%15.0%-----6.2
ToledoTOL(4-2)-45.4%49.8%4.9%----5.4
BuffaloBUF(4-2)-38.1%57.5%4.4%----5.3
W MichiganWMU(4-2)-39.3%47.0%13.8%----5.3
N IllinoisNIU(3-3)--29.1%65.4%5.4%---4.2
E MichiganEMU(2-4)---22.8%52.0%25.2%--3.0
Ball StBALL(2-4)---0.9%19.1%80.0%--2.2
AkronAKR(1-5)----7.0%67.9%25.1%-1.8
C MichiganCMU(1-5)----2.8%37.9%59.3%-1.4
KentKENT(0-6)-----2.1%31.3%66.7%0.4

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com