Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
100.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8/24 | W29-24 | |
| 1 | 8/31 | W59-7 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L15-18 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W66-42 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W42-16 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W34-27 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | W40-10 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | W28-27 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | W48-25 | |
| 12 | 11/16 | W38-28 | |
| 13 | 11/23 | W33-7 | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:83% |
Data from 2024-11-24
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | 83.4% | 100.0% |
| 7-1 | 16.6% | 100.0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-24
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) |
Data from 2024-11-24
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
83.4%100.0%
16.6%Data from 2024-11-24
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-24