Mid-American Conference

Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-09-15

Mid-American ConferenceConference Standings

T1ToledoTOL0-03-059.7%
T1OhioOHIO0-02-135.7%
T1N IllinoisNIU0-02-032.4%
T1Bowling GreenBGSU0-01-128.9%
T1Miami OHM-OH0-00-224.1%
T1BuffaloBUF0-02-110.7%
T1E MichiganEMU0-02-16.1%
T1W MichiganWMU0-01-21.4%
T1Ball StBALL0-01-10.6%
T1C MichiganCMU0-01-20.2%
T1AkronAKR0-01-2<0.1%
T1KentKENT0-00-3<0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Mid-American Conference CCG Matchups

114.8%
OhioOHIO
vs
TOLToledo
214.2%
N IllinoisNIU
vs
TOLToledo
312.3%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
TOLToledo
411.1%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
TOLToledo
57.1%
N IllinoisNIU
vs
OHIOOhio
66.5%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
OHIOOhio
74.5%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
NIUN Illinois
84.1%
BuffaloBUF
vs
TOLToledo
94.1%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
OHIOOhio
103.6%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
NIUN Illinois
113.1%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
M-OHMiami OH
122.3%
E MichiganEMU
vs
TOLToledo
131.8%
BuffaloBUF
vs
OHIOOhio
141.7%
BuffaloBUF
vs
NIUN Illinois
151.5%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
BUFBuffalo

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Mid-American Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 59.7%
Game
ToledoCCG OddsAway
ToledoCCG OddsHome
Miami OHM-OH@Notre DameND
59.2%
(-0.5%)		59.7%
(+0.0%)
AkronAKR@South CarolinaSC
60.8%
(+1.1%)		59.7%
(-0.0%)
BuffaloBUF@N IllinoisNIU
60.9%
(+1.1%)		59.3%
(-0.4%)
St. Francis (PA)SFPA@E MichiganEMU
60.0%
(+0.2%)		59.7%
(-0.0%)
ToledoTOL@WKUWKU
59.8%
(+0.1%)		59.5%
(-0.2%)
OhioOHIO@KentuckyUK
59.7%
(-0.0%)		59.7%
(+0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@Texas A&MTA&M
59.6%
(-0.2%)		59.8%
(+0.0%)
KentKENT@Penn StPSU
57.0%
(-2.7%)		59.8%
(+0.0%)
Ball StBALL@C MichiganCMU
59.5%
(-0.2%)		59.9%
(+0.2%)

Best Winner Combination for Toledo

Miami OHMiami (OH)AkronAkronKentKent State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Toledo

Notre DameNotre DameBuffaloBuffaloPenn StPenn State

CCG: 60.9% • Scenario: 25.7%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team8-07-16-25-3Overall
ToledoTOL100%99.9%60.7%3.8%59.7%
OhioOHIO100%90.6%28.2%0.8%35.7%
N IllinoisNIU100%96.3%42.2%1.6%32.4%
Bowling GreenBGSU100%91.7%30.6%0.6%28.9%
Miami OHM-OH100%99.1%49.2%1.5%24.1%
BuffaloBUF100%95.1%33.7%0.7%10.7%
E MichiganEMU100%94.3%34.5%0.7%6.1%
W MichiganWMU100%83.2%21.2%0.3%1.4%
Ball StBALL100%92.6%41.4%1.2%0.6%
C MichiganCMU-100%59.9%4.1%0.2%
AkronAKR100%100%51.9%3.0%<0.1%
KentKENT--50.0%0.9%<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team8-07-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
ToledoTOL(0-0)10.7%28.8%32.1%19.5%7.0%1.6%0.2%<0.1%0.0%6.1
OhioOHIO(0-0)5.0%22.5%36.0%25.4%9.1%1.8%0.2%<0.1%0.0%5.8
Bowling GreenBGSU(0-0)3.0%17.2%32.6%29.0%14.0%3.7%0.5%<0.1%0.0%5.5
N IllinoisNIU(0-0)3.4%16.2%30.7%29.4%15.1%4.4%0.7%<0.1%0.0%5.5
Miami OHM-OH(0-0)1.6%9.8%25.2%31.7%21.8%8.3%1.6%0.1%0.0%5.1
BuffaloBUF(0-0)0.4%4.5%17.0%31.1%29.2%13.8%3.5%0.4%<0.1%4.6
E MichiganEMU(0-0)0.2%2.2%10.5%24.6%30.9%21.7%8.1%1.6%0.1%4.1
W MichiganWMU(0-0)<0.1%0.6%4.0%14.2%27.4%30.4%17.8%5.0%0.5%3.4
Ball StBALL(0-0)<0.1%0.1%1.1%5.8%17.5%30.2%29.1%13.9%2.4%2.7
C MichiganCMU(0-0)0.0%<0.1%0.2%1.8%8.7%23.3%34.4%24.9%6.7%2.1
AkronAKR(0-0)0.0%<0.1%<0.1%0.9%5.4%18.1%33.6%31.2%10.8%1.8
KentKENT(0-0)0.0%0.0%<0.1%0.2%2.0%10.1%28.0%38.9%20.7%1.3

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com