Mountain West Conference Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	7-0	6-1	5-2	4-3	Overall
Fresno StateFRES	100%	84.2%	14.6%	<0.1%	63.1%
San José StateSJSU	100%	99.4%	30.0%	0.2%	50.4%
Boise StateBOIS	100%	77.1%	9.9%	<0.1%	49.3%
UNLVUNLV	100%	97.8%	23.0%	0.1%	26.9%
Air ForceAF	-	74.4%	5.2%	<0.1%	5.3%
San Diego StateSDSU	100%	64.3%	3.7%	<0.1%	2.9%
WyomingWYO	100%	75.7%	9.5%	-	0.7%
Colorado StateCSU	100%	69.0%	4.8%	<0.1%	0.5%
Utah StateUSU	100%	55.2%	2.9%	-	0.3%
Hawai'iHAW	-	85.9%	9.3%	<0.1%	0.3%
NevadaNEV	-	100%	38.0%	0.2%	0.1%
New MexicoUNM	-	42.2%	1.8%	<0.1%	0.1%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	7-0	6-1	5-2	4-3	3-4	2-5	1-6	0-7	Avg Wins
Fresno StateFRES(1-0)	24.1%	41.9%	26.1%	7.1%	0.9%	<0.1%	0.0%	-	5.8
Boise StateBOIS(0-0)	15.9%	39.1%	32.1%	10.8%	1.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	5.6
San José StateSJSU(1-0)	8.1%	31.1%	38.1%	18.6%	3.8%	0.3%	<0.1%	-	5.2
UNLVUNLV(0-0)	3.0%	16.5%	33.6%	30.7%	13.3%	2.7%	0.3%	<0.1%	4.6
Air ForceAF(0-1)	-	5.5%	24.8%	36.1%	24.1%	8.2%	1.3%	<0.1%	3.9
San Diego StateSDSU(0-0)	0.2%	3.2%	15.0%	31.3%	30.6%	15.4%	3.9%	0.4%	3.5
Colorado StateCSU(0-0)	<0.1%	0.4%	4.2%	17.5%	32.7%	29.9%	13.1%	2.2%	2.6
WyomingWYO(0-0)	<0.1%	0.4%	3.8%	14.8%	29.8%	31.4%	16.5%	3.4%	2.5
Utah StateUSU(0-0)	<0.1%	0.3%	3.2%	13.3%	28.4%	32.2%	18.3%	4.3%	2.4
New MexicoUNM(0-1)	-	0.2%	2.3%	10.7%	25.4%	33.2%	22.4%	5.8%	2.2
Hawai'iHAW(0-0)	0.0%	0.1%	1.6%	9.3%	26.0%	35.5%	22.3%	5.2%	2.2
NevadaNEV(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.3%	2.7%	13.8%	34.0%	36.1%	13.1%	1.6

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com