BYUCougars

6-0 T1st (3-0) in B12

Data from 2024-10-13 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

51.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsSouthern IllinoisSIU	W41-13
2	9/06	@SMUSMU	W18-15
3	9/14	@WyomingWYO	W34-14
4	9/21	vsKansas StateKSU	W38-9
5	9/28	@BaylorBAY	W34-28
7	10/12	vsArizonaARIZ	W41-19
8	10/18	vsOklahoma StateOKST	Win prob:79%
9	10/26	@UCFUCF	Win prob:65%
11	11/09	@UtahUTAH	Win prob:53%
12	11/16	vsKansasKU	Win prob:70%
13	11/23	@Arizona StateASU	Win prob:61%
14	11/30	vsHoustonHOU	Win prob:87%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	10.2%	100.0%
8-1	29.5%	88.9%
7-2	33.8%	44.5%
6-3	19.7%	2.4%
5-4	5.9%	0%
4-5	0.9%	0%
3-6	0.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

59.1%

20.7%

16.7%

2.2%

1.3%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Oklahoma StateOKST@BYUBYU	27.0% (-24.9%)	58.5% (+6.6%)
TCUTCU@UtahUTAH	52.5% (+0.6%)	51.6% (-0.3%)
ColoradoCOLO@ArizonaARIZ	51.5% (-0.4%)	52.1% (+0.1%)
Arizona StateASU@CincinnatiCIN	52.1% (+0.2%)	51.8% (-0.1%)
Kansas StateKSU@West VirginiaWVU	51.7% (-0.2%)	52.3% (+0.4%)
BaylorBAY@Texas TechTTU	63.8% (+11.9%)	48.9% (-3.0%)
UCFUCF@Iowa StateISU	59.1% (+7.1%)	50.8% (-1.1%)
HoustonHOU@KansasKU	52.0% (+0.1%)	51.9% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

BYU

TCU

Colorado

Cincinnati

West Virginia

Baylor

UCF

Houston

CCG: 92.9% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

BYU

CCG: 58.5% • Scenario: 79.1%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

10.2%

Any 1 loss

88.9%

29.5%

89.8%

6.4%

89.4%

2.7%

88.8%

4.3%

88.7%

9.0%

88.5%

5.5%

86.8%

1.7%

Any 2 losses

44.5%

33.8%

49.1%

0.9%

48.0%

1.4%

47.4%

4.9%

45.8%

2.3%

45.7%

0.4%

45.3%

3.8%

45.2%

0.7%

45.1%

1.7%

44.9%

2.7%

44.2%

1.5%

43.5%

3.5%

43.2%

1.0%

41.9%

2.4%

41.5%

5.6%

41.3%

1.2%

Any 3 losses

2.4%

19.7%

5.4%

0.4%

5.0%

0.7%

4.4%

0.2%

3.7%

0.9%

3.4%

2.1%

3.2%

0.6%

3.1%

0.2%

3.0%

0.5%

2.4%

0.6%

2.3%

0.4%

2.2%

2.5%

2.0%

0.7%

1.9%

1.5%

1.9%

3.0%

1.8%

1.3%

1.8%

1.5%

1.8%

0.9%

1.7%

0.4%

1.6%

1.0%

1.1%

0.3%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com