Sun Belt Conference Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	Overall
James MadisonJMU	-	100%	81.1%	24.6%	3.1%	93.3%
Texas StateTXST	100%	70.9%	35.1%	11.8%	2.0%	60.9%
LouisianaUL	100%	48.0%	15.2%	1.4%	-	18.3%
South AlabamaUSA	-	98.7%	12.0%	1.1%	-	17.0%
Georgia SouthernGASO	100%	43.7%	18.5%	5.0%	0.3%	3.5%
UL MonroeULM	100%	66.1%	21.7%	2.1%	-	2.8%
Old DominionODU	-	87.0%	22.6%	3.4%	0.2%	1.5%
Arkansas StateARST	-	21.7%	8.0%	2.7%	0.5%	0.8%
MarshallMRSH	-	89.0%	2.9%	0.2%	<0.1%	0.8%
Coastal CarolinaCCU	-	3.4%	2.3%	1.0%	0.1%	0.6%
TroyTROY	-	-	6.0%	1.4%	0.2%	0.3%
App StateAPP	-	-	-	98.9%	2.4%	0.3%
Georgia StateGAST	-	-	9.1%	2.0%	<0.1%	<0.1%
Southern MissUSM	-	-	-	-	0.9%	-

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
Texas StateTXST(2-0)	20.5%	41.5%	28.1%	8.6%	1.2%	<0.1%	0.0%	-	-	6.7
James MadisonJMU(1-1)	-	73.9%	23.2%	2.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-	6.7
LouisianaUL(2-0)	3.6%	18.8%	34.3%	28.9%	12.0%	2.2%	0.2%	-	-	5.7
South AlabamaUSA(1-1)	-	12.6%	34.9%	34.5%	14.7%	3.1%	0.3%	<0.1%	-	5.4
MarshallMRSH(1-1)	-	0.4%	10.7%	31.1%	34.7%	18.1%	4.5%	0.4%	-	4.3
UL MonroeULM(3-0)	<0.1%	0.9%	7.3%	25.9%	42.0%	23.8%	-	-	-	4.2
Coastal CarolinaCCU(1-1)	-	1.7%	10.4%	25.6%	32.2%	21.8%	7.3%	0.9%	-	4.1
Georgia SouthernGASO(2-0)	<0.1%	1.2%	8.4%	25.5%	35.6%	23.5%	5.6%	-	-	4.1
Old DominionODU(1-1)	-	0.1%	3.2%	16.1%	32.4%	31.1%	14.6%	2.6%	-	3.5
Arkansas StateARST(1-1)	-	0.3%	3.0%	13.6%	29.9%	32.6%	17.2%	3.4%	-	3.4
TroyTROY(0-2)	-	-	1.8%	12.5%	30.9%	33.6%	17.2%	3.8%	0.2%	3.4
Georgia StateGAST(0-2)	-	-	<0.1%	0.5%	5.7%	22.2%	37.2%	27.3%	7.1%	1.9
App StateAPP(0-3)	-	-	-	0.2%	4.2%	20.5%	37.4%	29.5%	8.2%	1.8
Southern MissUSM(0-2)	-	-	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	1.7%	13.2%	42.1%	42.8%	0.7

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com