Marshall

MarshallThundering Herd

3-3 T5th (1-1) in SBC

Data from 2024-10-13 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

MarshallSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsStony BrookSTBK
W45-3
29/07
@Virginia TechVT
L14-31
49/21
@Ohio StOSU
L14-49
59/28
vsW MichiganWMU
W27-20
610/05
vsAppalachian StAPP
W52-37
710/12
@Ga SouthernGASO
L23-24
810/17
vsGeorgia StGAST
Win prob:68%
1011/02
vsULMULM
Win prob:73%
1111/09
@Southern MissUSM
Win prob:80%
1211/16
vsCoastal CarCCU
Win prob:55%
1311/23
@Old DominionODU
Win prob:44%
1411/30
@James MadisonJMU
Win prob:5%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-1
0.4%
89.0%
6-2
10.7%
2.9%
5-3
31.1%
0.2%
4-4
34.7%
0.0%
3-5
18.1%
0%
2-6
4.5%
0%
1-7
0.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Marshall CCG Opponents

if Marshall makes the CCG

Texas StateTexas St
61.5%
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
17.9%
LouisianaLouisiana
17.9%
UL MonroeULM
2.6%
Arkansas StateArkansas St
0.0%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallThis Week's Impact

Game
MarshallCCG OddsAway
MarshallCCG OddsHome
TroyTROY@South AlabamaUSA
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
James MadisonJMU@Ga SouthernGASO
0.8%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(-0.2%)
Arkansas StARST@Southern MissUSM
0.8%
(+0.0%)		0.8%
(-0.0%)
Georgia StGAST@MarshallMRSH
0.1%
(-0.7%)		1.1%
(+0.3%)
LouisianaUL@Coastal CarCCU
0.8%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(-0.0%)
Texas StTXST@Old DominionODU
0.8%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(-0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for Marshall

South AlabamaSouth AlabamaGa SouthernGeorgia SouthernArkansas StArkansas StateMarshallMarshallLouisianaLouisianaOld DominionOld Dominion

CCG: 2.1% • Scenario: 0.3%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Marshall

MarshallMarshall

CCG: 1.1% • Scenario: 68.2%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Marshall CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
89.0%
0.4%
Any 1 loss
22.1%
1.4%
Southern Miss
92.3%
0.1%
ULM
86.1%
0.2%
Georgia St
11.7%
0.2%
Old Dominion
5.7%
0.5%
Coastal Car
2.8%
0.4%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com