Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.3%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L26-28 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L17-38 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L21-38 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W34-12 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L9-13 | |
| 6 | 10/03 | L17-38 | |
| 8 | 10/15 | Win prob:26% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:69% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:63% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:54% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:32% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:92% |
Data from 2024-10-13
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 1.8% | 6.0% |
| 5-3 | 12.5% | 1.4% |
| 4-4 | 30.9% | 0.2% |
| 3-5 | 33.6% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 17.2% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 3.8% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 0.2% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-13
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-10-13
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3% (+1.0%) | 0.0% (-0.3%) | |
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.3% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.4% (+0.0%) | 0.3% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.4% (+0.0%) | 0.3% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.3% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.4% (+0.0%) | 0.3% (-0.1%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Troy
Georgia Southern
Southern Miss
Georgia State
Louisiana
Old DominionCCG: 6.9% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
TroyCCG: 1.3% • Scenario: 25.5%
Data from 2024-10-13
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-13