American Athletic Conference

American Athletic Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-10-20

American Athletic ConferenceConference Standings

T1ArmyARMY6-07-072.5%
T1NavyNAVY4-06-051.3%
T1TulaneTULN3-05-260.8%
T4MemphisMEM2-16-112.7%
T4North TexasUNT2-15-22.6%
T4CharlotteCLT2-13-4<0.1%
T7UT San AntonioUTSA1-23-4<0.1%
T7East CarolinaECU1-23-4<0.1%
T7South FloridaUSF1-23-4<0.1%
T7TempleTEM1-22-5-
11RiceRICE1-32-5-
T12FL AtlanticFAU0-32-5-
T12TulsaTLSA0-32-5-
T12UABUAB0-41-6-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely American Athletic Conference CCG Matchups

137.7%
ArmyARMY
vs
TULNTulane
228.4%
ArmyARMY
vs
NAVYNavy
318.8%
NavyNAVY
vs
TULNTulane
45.9%
ArmyARMY
vs
MEMMemphis
53.2%
MemphisMEM
vs
TULNTulane
63.2%
MemphisMEM
vs
NAVYNavy
71.0%
North TexasUNT
vs
TULNTulane
80.8%
NavyNAVY
vs
UNTNorth Texas
90.4%
ArmyARMY
vs
UNTNorth Texas
100.3%
MemphisMEM
vs
UNTNorth Texas
11<0.1%
TulaneTULN
vs
UTSAUT San Antonio
12<0.1%
ArmyARMY
vs
ECUEast Carolina
13<0.1%
ArmyARMY
vs
CLTCharlotte
14<0.1%
NavyNAVY
vs
UTSAUT San Antonio
15<0.1%
ArmyARMY
vs
UTSAUT San Antonio

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

American Athletic ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on American Athletic Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 72.5%
Game
ArmyCCG OddsAway
ArmyCCG OddsHome
RiceRICE@UConnCONN
72.5%
(+0.1%)		72.4%
(-0.0%)
TulaneTULN@North TexasUNT
70.9%
(-1.6%)		78.3%
(+5.9%)
UT San AntonioUTSA@TulsaTLSA
72.5%
(+0.1%)		72.2%
(-0.3%)
CharlotteCLT@MemphisMEM
76.5%
(+4.0%)		72.2%
(-0.3%)
Notre DameND@NavyNAVY
72.5%
(+0.0%)		72.2%
(-0.3%)
TempleTEM@East CarolinaECU
72.3%
(-0.2%)		72.5%
(+0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for Army

RiceRiceNorth TexasNorth TexasTulsaTulsaCharlotteCharlotteNavyNavy

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Army

North TexasNorth Texas

CCG: 78.3% • Scenario: 21.3%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

American Athletic ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team9-08-18-07-27-16-36-2Overall
ArmyARMY100%72.7%-31.4%-0.8%-72.5%
TulaneTULN--100%-64.1%-2.3%60.8%
NavyNAVY100%73.6%-41.9%-2.9%-51.3%
MemphisMEM----70.2%-2.9%12.7%
North TexasUNT----95.7%-3.1%2.6%
UT San AntonioUTSA------4.8%<0.1%
CharlotteCLT----67.6%-0.9%<0.1%
East CarolinaECU------2.5%<0.1%
South FloridaUSF------0.3%<0.1%
FL AtlanticFAU--------
RiceRICE--------
TempleTEM--------
TulsaTLSA--------
UABUAB--------

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

American Athletic ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team9-08-18-07-27-16-36-25-35-44-44-53-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
ArmyARMY(6-0)32.6%46.8%0.0%18.6%0.0%2.0%0.0%--------8.1
NavyNAVY(4-0)10.2%33.9%0.0%37.4%0.0%15.7%0.0%0.0%2.6%0.0%0.2%----7.3
TulaneTULN(3-0)-0.0%32.1%0.0%44.1%0.0%20.2%3.4%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%---7.0
MemphisMEM(2-1)---0.0%15.9%0.0%53.6%26.5%0.0%3.7%0.0%0.2%0.0%--5.8
North TexasUNT(2-1)---0.0%2.2%0.0%16.1%38.0%0.0%32.7%0.0%10.1%0.9%--4.6
South FloridaUSF(1-2)-----0.0%3.2%19.6%0.0%37.4%0.0%29.4%9.5%0.9%-3.8
UT San AntonioUTSA(1-2)-----0.0%1.5%13.7%0.0%39.4%0.0%35.6%9.1%0.7%-3.6
CharlotteCLT(2-1)---0.0%<0.1%0.0%1.2%12.7%0.0%37.4%0.0%38.4%10.2%--3.6
East CarolinaECU(1-2)-----0.0%1.4%13.5%0.0%38.6%0.0%33.8%11.5%1.3%-3.6
FL AtlanticFAU(0-3)-------5.4%0.0%22.7%0.0%35.3%26.1%9.3%1.2%2.9
RiceRICE(1-3)-------0.3%0.0%5.9%0.0%32.3%45.0%16.4%-2.3
TempleTEM(1-2)-----0.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%3.5%0.0%19.1%43.7%33.5%-1.9
UABUAB(0-4)---------0.2%0.0%7.6%32.8%43.8%15.7%1.3
TulsaTLSA(0-3)-------<0.1%0.0%1.1%0.0%7.4%25.6%40.8%25.0%1.2

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com