MemphisTigers

6-1 T4th (2-1) in AAC

Data from 2024-10-20 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

12.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsNorth AlabamaUNA	W40-0
2	9/07	vsTroyTROY	W38-17
3	9/14	@Florida StateFSU	W20-12
4	9/21	@NavyNAVY	L44-56
5	9/28	vsMiddle TennesseeMTSU	W24-7
7	10/12	vsSouth FloridaUSF(N)	W21-3
8	10/19	vsNorth TexasUNT	W52-44
9	10/26	vsCharlotteCLT	Win prob:94%
10	11/02	@UTSAUTSA	Win prob:72%
11	11/08	vsRiceRICE	Win prob:92%
12	11/16	vsUABUAB	Win prob:97%
14	11/28	@TulaneTULN	Win prob:26%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	15.9%	70.2%
6-2	53.6%	2.9%
5-3	26.5%	0%
4-4	3.7%	0%
3-5	0.2%	0%
2-6	0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

46.5%

25.5%

25.5%

2.5%

0.0%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
RiceRICE@UConnCONN	12.7% (-0.0%)	12.7% (+0.0%)
TulaneTULN@North TexasUNT	12.7% (+0.0%)	12.6% (-0.1%)
UTSAUTSA@TulsaTLSA	12.8% (+0.0%)	12.5% (-0.2%)
CharlotteCLT@MemphisMEM	1.1% (-11.6%)	13.5% (+0.8%)
Notre DameND@NavyNAVY	12.7% (+0.0%)	12.6% (-0.1%)
TempleTEM@East CarolinaECU	12.7% (+0.0%)	12.7% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Rice

North Texas

Tulsa

Memphis

Navy

Temple

CCG: 28.6% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Memphis

CCG: 13.5% • Scenario: 93.8%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

70.2%

15.9%

Any 1 loss

2.9%

53.6%

9.1%

0.6%

8.9%

6.0%

7.9%

1.3%

6.6%

1.1%

1.7%

44.6%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com