Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8/24 | W35-14 | |
| 1 | 8/31 | L13-16 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L13-31 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W36-7 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | L24-27 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | L7-28 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | L10-42 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:44% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:10% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:7% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:42% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:43% |
Data from 2024-10-20
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | 0.1% | 30.2% |
| 4-3 | 1.4% | 0% |
| 3-4 | 11.6% | 0% |
| 2-5 | 32.7% | 0% |
| 1-6 | 38.3% | 0% |
| 0-7 | 16.0% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-20
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-10-20
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Utah State
New Mexico
San Diego State
Fresno StateHawai'i
Boise StateCCG: 0.4% • Scenario: 0.2%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
New MexicoHawai'iCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 16.9%
Data from 2024-10-20
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-20