Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8/24 | L24-29 | |
| 1 | 8/31 | W28-26 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L17-20 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L0-27 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W49-16 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | L31-35 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W42-37 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | L21-24 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:56% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:54% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:5% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:54% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:7% |
Data from 2024-10-20
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | 0.1% | 34.5% |
| 4-3 | 2.1% | 0% |
| 3-4 | 19.4% | 0% |
| 2-5 | 39.8% | 0% |
| 1-6 | 30.6% | 0% |
| 0-7 | 8.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-20
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-10-20
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Wyoming
Colorado State
San Diego State
Fresno StateNevada
Boise StateCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 1.4%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
WyomingNevadaCCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 41.2%
Data from 2024-10-20
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-20