Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.2%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L7-48 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L13-17 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L14-34 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L17-44 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W31-19 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | L24-27 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | L14-24 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:73% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:44% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:41% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:11% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:10% |
Data from 2024-10-20
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | 1.4% | 16.4% |
| 4-3 | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| 3-4 | 40.2% | 0% |
| 2-5 | 34.2% | 0% |
| 1-6 | 8.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-20
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-10-20
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (-0.2%) | 0.3% (+0.1%) | |
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.2% (-0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.2% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (-0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Wyoming
Colorado State
San Diego State
San José State
Hawai'i
UNLVCCG: 0.9% • Scenario: 1.2%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
WyomingCCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 72.8%
Data from 2024-10-20
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-20