Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | W21-17 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L14-62 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | L28-31 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | L10-66 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | L0-44 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | W42-6 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | L10-45 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | W24-21 | |
| 11 | 11/05 | Win prob:27% | |
| 11 | 11/11 | Win prob:35% | |
| 13 | 11/19 | Win prob:23% | |
| 14 | 11/28 | Win prob:8% |
Data from 2025-10-26
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0.2% | 17.5% |
| 5-3 | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| 4-4 | 19.6% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 43.3% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 33.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-10-26
Most Likely
CCG Opponents
if
makes the CCG
Data from 2025-10-26
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 11.2%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 11.2%
Data from 2025-10-26
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-10-26