WyomingCowboys

4-4 T5th (2-2) in MWC

Data from 2025-10-26 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	@AkronAKR	W10-0
2	9/06	vsNorthern IowaUNI	W31-7
3	9/13	vsUtahUTAH	L6-31
4	9/20	@ColoradoCOLO	L20-37
6	10/04	vsUNLVUNLV	L17-31
7	10/11	vsSan José StateSJSU	W35-28
8	10/18	@Air ForceAF	L21-24
9	10/25	vsColorado StateCSU	W28-0
10	11/01	@San Diego StateSDSU	Win prob:19%
12	11/15	@Fresno StateFRES	Win prob:33%
13	11/22	vsNevadaNEV	Win prob:76%
14	11/29	@Hawai'iHAW	Win prob:38%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-2	1.8%	25.3%
5-3	14.8%	0.2%
4-4	38.8%	0%
3-5	36.4%	0%
2-6	8.3%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

84.8%

8.7%

6.5%

0.0%

0.0%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
ArmyARMY@Air ForceAF	0.5% (-0.0%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
New MexicoUNM@UNLVUNLV	0.9% (+0.4%)	0.4% (-0.1%)
WyomingWYO@San Diego StateSDSU	2.5% (+2.0%)	0.0% (-0.5%)
Fresno StateFRES@Boise StateBOIS	0.7% (+0.2%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
Hawai'iHAW@San José StateSJSU	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.5% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Air Force

New Mexico

Wyoming

Fresno State

Hawai'i

CCG: 8.0% • Scenario: 0.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Wyoming

CCG: 2.5% • Scenario: 18.8%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

25.3%

1.8%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com