Big Ten Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	Overall
IndianaIU	100%	81.5%	3.7%	90.5%
Ohio StateOSU	100%	47.6%	0.5%	86.2%
OregonORE	-	26.3%	1.0%	10.9%
MichiganMICH	-	48.1%	<0.1%	6.7%
IowaIOWA	-	27.2%	0.1%	3.2%
USCUSC	-	20.0%	<0.1%	2.5%
WashingtonWASH	-	-	0.2%	<0.1%
IllinoisILL	-	-	-	-
MarylandMD	-	-	-	-
Michigan StateMSU	-	-	-	-
MinnesotaMINN	-	-	-	-
NebraskaNEB	-	-	-	-
NorthwesternNU	-	-	-	-
Penn StatePSU	-	-	-	-
PurduePUR	-	-	-	-
RutgersRUTG	-	-	-	-
UCLAUCLA	-	-	-	-
WisconsinWIS	-	-	-	-

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	5-4	4-5	3-6	2-7	1-8	0-9	Avg Wins
Ohio StateOSU(5-0)	74.6%	24.5%	0.9%	<0.1%	0.0%	-	-	-	-	-	8.7
IndianaIU(6-0)	54.9%	43.7%	1.4%	<0.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8.5
OregonORE(4-1)	-	39.8%	43.5%	15.0%	1.7%	<0.1%	-	-	-	-	7.2
MichiganMICH(5-1)	-	13.9%	57.0%	26.1%	3.0%	-	-	-	-	-	6.8
USCUSC(4-1)	-	12.0%	50.0%	34.3%	3.5%	<0.1%	-	-	-	-	6.7
IowaIOWA(4-1)	-	11.6%	39.4%	39.3%	9.4%	0.3%	-	-	-	-	6.5
WashingtonWASH(3-2)	-	-	9.0%	54.7%	30.8%	5.3%	0.2%	-	-	-	5.7
MinnesotaMINN(4-2)	-	-	1.0%	32.1%	49.6%	17.3%	-	-	-	-	5.2
IllinoisILL(3-3)	-	-	-	19.8%	42.8%	30.3%	7.0%	-	-	-	4.8
NorthwesternNU(3-2)	-	-	0.2%	4.7%	26.5%	45.5%	23.1%	-	-	-	4.1
NebraskaNEB(3-3)	-	-	-	1.6%	22.1%	60.6%	15.7%	-	-	-	4.1
UCLAUCLA(3-2)	-	-	0.0%	0.2%	5.0%	33.3%	61.5%	-	-	-	3.4
Penn StatePSU(0-5)	-	-	-	-	-	35.8%	53.8%	9.8%	0.7%	<0.1%	3.2
MarylandMD(1-4)	-	-	-	-	4.8%	25.9%	40.9%	24.1%	4.2%	-	3.0
RutgersRUTG(1-5)	-	-	-	-	-	<0.1%	3.3%	43.3%	53.4%	-	1.5
WisconsinWIS(0-5)	-	-	-	-	-	<0.1%	3.9%	23.6%	44.7%	27.7%	1.0
Michigan StateMSU(0-6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	<0.1%	1.5%	26.6%	71.8%	0.3
PurduePUR(0-6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.0%	0.2%	8.9%	90.9%	0.1

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com