Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/28 | W10-0 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W31-7 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | L6-31 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | L20-37 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | L17-31 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | W35-28 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | L21-24 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | W28-0 | |
| 10 | 11/01 | L7-24 | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:50% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:83% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:49% |
Data from 2025-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | 20.0% | 0.2% |
| 4-4 | 45.5% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 30.0% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 4.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.7% • Scenario: 0.9%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 20.5%
Data from 2025-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-02