UtahUtes

7-2 T4th (4-2) in B12

Data from 2025-11-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

26.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	@UCLAUCLA	W43-10
2	9/06	vsCal PolyCP	W63-9
3	9/13	@WyomingWYO	W31-6
4	9/20	vsTexas TechTTU	L10-34
5	9/27	@West VirginiaWVU	W48-14
7	10/11	vsArizona StateASU	W42-10
8	10/18	@BYUBYU	L21-24
9	10/25	vsColoradoCOLO	W53-7
10	11/01	vsCincinnatiCIN	W45-14
12	11/15	@BaylorBAY	Win prob:84%
13	11/22	vsKansas StateKSU	Win prob:75%
14	11/28	@KansasKU	Win prob:82%

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-2	52.0%	48.8%
6-3	38.3%	2.8%
5-4	9.0%	0%
4-5	0.7%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

59.0%

33.4%

3.4%

2.8%

1.4%

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
BYUBYU@Texas TechTTU	34.6% (+8.1%)	23.7% (-2.8%)
KansasKU@ArizonaARIZ	27.4% (+0.9%)	25.4% (-1.1%)
Iowa StateISU@TCUTCU	26.3% (-0.2%)	26.6% (+0.1%)
ColoradoCOLO@West VirginiaWVU	26.6% (+0.1%)	26.3% (-0.2%)
HoustonHOU@UCFUCF	26.8% (+0.3%)	26.4% (-0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

BYU

Kansas

TCU

Colorado

UCF

CCG: 36.9% • Scenario: 5.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

BYU

CCG: 34.6% • Scenario: 25.5%

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

48.8%

52.0%

Any 1 loss

2.8%

38.3%

3.0%

10.9%

2.9%

9.7%

2.7%

17.7%

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com