Big Ten Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

Filter by team:

9 of 9 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
9-0 IndianaIU Ohio StateOSU 8-1 OregonORE	IndianaIUOhio StateOSU	2.3%
9-0 IndianaIU 8-1 MichiganMICH Ohio StateOSU OregonORE	IndianaIUOregonORE	0.9%
9-0 IndianaIU Ohio StateOSU 8-1 USCUSC	IndianaIUOhio StateOSU	0.5%
9-0 IndianaIU 8-1 MichiganMICH Ohio StateOSU USCUSC	CCG participants not 100% certain IndianaIUUSCUSC 92.3% IndianaIUMichiganMICH 5.9% IndianaIUOhio StateOSU 1.8%	0.2%
9-0 IndianaIU 8-1 Ohio StateOSU OregonORE	IndianaIUOregonORE	<0.1%
9-0 Ohio StateOSU 8-1 IndianaIU OregonORE	IndianaIUOhio StateOSU	<0.1%
9-0 IndianaIU 8-1 Ohio StateOSU USCUSC	CCG participants not 100% certain IndianaIUUSCUSC 66.7% IndianaIUOhio StateOSU 33.3%	<0.1%
8-1 IndianaIU MichiganMICH Ohio StateOSU OregonORE	CCG participants not 100% certain Ohio StateOSUOregonORE 77.3% MichiganMICHOregonORE 22.7%	<0.1%
9-0 Ohio StateOSU 8-1 IndianaIU USCUSC	IndianaIUOhio StateOSU	<0.1%

Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Record against highest-placed opponent → Next-highest, etc.

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.